本帖于 2018-11-09 05:25:41 时间, 由普通用户 rapidestate 编辑
回答:
现金流VS高增值
由
rapidestate
于
2018-11-09 04:52:42
| Plan A |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| 20 Years Ago: Year 1998 |
Interest Rate |
6.00% |
Now Year 2018 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| House price |
|
200000 |
Growth Rate |
8.4% |
House price |
1000000 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Rent |
|
1000 |
Rent Growth Rate |
6.0% |
Rent |
3200 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Yearly W2 cash for investment |
20000 |
W2 growth rate |
4.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Cash on hand |
|
40000 |
Maintenance cost of house price |
3.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Year |
# House Had |
House Price |
Down Payment |
Rent |
Mortgage/mo |
Insurance, tax, vacancy, management /mo |
Cash flow/mo |
Cash flow/ye |
W2 cash |
Total cash |
Buy House Next Year? |
Principe paid |
Net Worth |
| 1 |
1 |
$200,000 |
40000 |
1000 |
($959) |
($500) |
($459) |
($5,511) |
20000 |
14489 |
FALSE |
2024 |
$56,512 |
| 2 |
1 |
$216,760 |
43352 |
1060 |
($959) |
($542) |
($441) |
($5,296) |
20800 |
29993 |
FALSE |
2145 |
$90,922 |
| 3 |
1 |
$234,924 |
46985 |
1123 |
($959) |
($587) |
($423) |
($5,079) |
21632 |
46546 |
FALSE |
2274 |
$127,913 |
| 4 |
1 |
$254,610 |
50922 |
1191 |
($959) |
($637) |
($405) |
($4,862) |
22497 |
64181 |
TRUE |
2410 |
$167,645 |
| 5 |
2 |
$275,946 |
55189 |
2524 |
($2,283) |
($1,380) |
($1,139) |
($13,665) |
23397 |
18724 |
FALSE |
5110 |
$424,580 |
| 6 |
2 |
$299,070 |
59814 |
2675 |
($2,283) |
($1,495) |
($1,103) |
($13,239) |
24333 |
29819 |
FALSE |
5417 |
$487,339 |
| 7 |
2 |
$324,131 |
64826 |
2835 |
($2,283) |
($1,621) |
($1,068) |
($12,820) |
25306 |
42305 |
FALSE |
5742 |
$555,690 |
| 8 |
2 |
$351,293 |
70259 |
3005 |
($2,283) |
($1,756) |
($1,034) |
($12,413) |
26319 |
56211 |
FALSE |
6086 |
$630,005 |
| 9 |
2 |
$380,731 |
76146 |
3185 |
($2,283) |
($1,904) |
($1,002) |
($12,020) |
27371 |
71563 |
FALSE |
6451 |
$710,684 |
| 10 |
2 |
$412,635 |
82527 |
3376 |
($2,283) |
($2,063) |
($970) |
($11,645) |
28466 |
88384 |
FALSE |
6838 |
$798,153 |
| 11 |
2 |
$447,214 |
89443 |
3578 |
($2,283) |
($2,236) |
($941) |
($11,294) |
29605 |
106695 |
TRUE |
7249 |
$892,869 |
| 12 |
3 |
$484,689 |
96938 |
5688 |
($4,608) |
($3,635) |
($2,555) |
($30,658) |
30789 |
9888 |
FALSE |
11525 |
$1,367,228 |
| 13 |
3 |
$525,306 |
105061 |
6029 |
($4,608) |
($3,940) |
($2,519) |
($30,226) |
32021 |
11682 |
FALSE |
12217 |
$1,503,088 |
| 14 |
3 |
$569,325 |
113865 |
6390 |
($4,608) |
($4,270) |
($2,488) |
($29,856) |
33301 |
15128 |
FALSE |
12950 |
$1,651,543 |
| 15 |
3 |
$617,034 |
123407 |
6772 |
($4,608) |
($4,628) |
($2,463) |
($29,558) |
34634 |
20203 |
FALSE |
13727 |
$1,813,470 |
| 16 |
3 |
$668,740 |
133748 |
7178 |
($4,608) |
($5,016) |
($2,445) |
($29,346) |
36019 |
26876 |
FALSE |
14551 |
$1,989,814 |
| 17 |
3 |
$724,780 |
144956 |
7607 |
($4,608) |
($5,436) |
($2,436) |
($29,231) |
37460 |
35104 |
FALSE |
15424 |
$2,181,583 |
| 18 |
3 |
$785,515 |
157103 |
8063 |
($4,608) |
($5,891) |
($2,436) |
($29,231) |
38958 |
44831 |
FALSE |
16349 |
$2,389,866 |
| 19 |
3 |
$851,340 |
170268 |
8546 |
($4,608) |
($6,385) |
($2,447) |
($29,361) |
40516 |
55986 |
FALSE |
17330 |
$2,615,825 |
| 20 |
3 |
$922,681 |
184536 |
9058 |
($4,608) |
($6,920) |
($2,470) |
($29,641) |
42137 |
68482 |
FALSE |
18370 |
$2,860,714 |
| 21 |
3 |
$1,000,000 |
200000 |
9600 |
($4,608) |
($7,500) |
($2,508) |
($30,091) |
43822 |
82213 |
FALSE |
19472 |
$3,125,875 |
| Plan B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| 20 Years Ago: Year 1998 |
Interest Rate |
6.50% |
Now Year 2018 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| House price |
|
60000 |
Growth Rate |
4.7% |
House price |
150000 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Rent |
|
600 |
Rent Growth Rate |
4.7% |
Rent |
1500 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Yearly W2 cash for investment |
20000 |
W2 growth rate |
4.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Cash on hand |
|
40000 |
Maintenance cost of house price |
4.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Year |
# House Had |
House Price |
Down Payment |
Rent |
Mortgage/mo |
Insurance, tax, vacancy, management /mo |
Cash flow/mo |
Cash flow/ye |
W2 cash |
Total cash |
Buy House Next Year? |
Principe paid |
Net Worth |
| 1 |
3 |
$60,000 |
12000 |
1800 |
($910) |
($600) |
$290 |
$3,478 |
20000 |
27478 |
TRUE |
1667 |
$41,145 |
| 2 |
5 |
$62,813 |
12563 |
3141 |
($1,545) |
($1,047) |
$548 |
$6,580 |
20800 |
42296 |
TRUE |
2959 |
$192,986 |
| 3 |
8 |
$65,757 |
13151 |
5261 |
($2,543) |
($1,754) |
$964 |
$11,570 |
21632 |
62346 |
TRUE |
5042 |
$430,074 |
| 4 |
12 |
$68,840 |
13768 |
8261 |
($3,935) |
($2,754) |
$1,572 |
$18,863 |
22497 |
89938 |
TRUE |
8055 |
$765,745 |
| 5 |
18 |
$72,067 |
14413 |
12972 |
($6,122) |
($4,324) |
$2,526 |
$30,316 |
23397 |
129237 |
TRUE |
12868 |
$1,289,044 |
| 6 |
26 |
$75,446 |
15089 |
19616 |
($9,174) |
($6,539) |
$3,904 |
$46,843 |
24333 |
185324 |
TRUE |
19796 |
$2,029,309 |
| 7 |
37 |
$78,983 |
15797 |
29224 |
($13,567) |
($9,741) |
$5,916 |
$70,986 |
25306 |
265820 |
TRUE |
30002 |
$3,100,579 |
| 8 |
53 |
$82,686 |
16537 |
43823 |
($20,257) |
($14,608) |
$8,959 |
$107,508 |
26319 |
383110 |
TRUE |
45770 |
$4,723,611 |
| 9 |
75 |
$86,562 |
17312 |
64921 |
($29,886) |
($21,640) |
$13,395 |
$160,739 |
27371 |
553908 |
TRUE |
68978 |
$7,073,196 |
| 10 |
105 |
$90,620 |
18124 |
95151 |
($43,633) |
($31,717) |
$19,801 |
$237,615 |
28466 |
801864 |
TRUE |
102847 |
$10,446,954 |
| 11 |
147 |
$94,868 |
18974 |
139456 |
($63,780) |
($46,485) |
$29,190 |
$350,286 |
29605 |
1162782 |
TRUE |
153344 |
$15,391,755 |
| 12 |
205 |
$99,316 |
19863 |
203597 |
($92,908) |
($67,866) |
$42,824 |
$513,886 |
30789 |
1687593 |
TRUE |
227747 |
$22,558,405 |
| 13 |
286 |
$103,972 |
20794 |
297359 |
($135,493) |
($99,120) |
$62,747 |
$752,963 |
32021 |
2451783 |
TRUE |
338388 |
$33,037,161 |
| 14 |
398 |
$108,846 |
21769 |
433207 |
($197,136) |
($144,402) |
$91,669 |
$1,100,028 |
33301 |
3563343 |
TRUE |
501513 |
$48,235,007 |
| 15 |
554 |
$113,949 |
22790 |
631276 |
($287,021) |
($210,425) |
$133,830 |
$1,605,957 |
34634 |
5181144 |
TRUE |
743461 |
$70,403,145 |
| 16 |
771 |
$119,291 |
23858 |
919731 |
($417,915) |
($306,577) |
$195,239 |
$2,342,869 |
36019 |
7536174 |
TRUE |
1101926 |
$102,705,598 |
| 17 |
1072 |
$124,883 |
24977 |
1338746 |
($607,989) |
($446,249) |
$284,508 |
$3,414,096 |
37460 |
10962753 |
TRUE |
1631708 |
$149,665,381 |
| 18 |
1491 |
$130,738 |
26148 |
1949296 |
($884,982) |
($649,765) |
$414,549 |
$4,974,593 |
38958 |
15950157 |
TRUE |
2416990 |
$218,124,868 |
| 19 |
2073 |
$136,867 |
27373 |
2837243 |
($1,287,767) |
($945,748) |
$603,728 |
$7,244,738 |
40516 |
23208038 |
TRUE |
3578871 |
$317,756,289 |
| 20 |
2882 |
$143,283 |
28657 |
4129412 |
($1,873,901) |
($1,376,471) |
$879,041 |
$10,548,487 |
42137 |
33770006 |
TRUE |
5298957 |
$462,834,114 |
| 21 |
4007 |
$150,000 |
30000 |
6010500 |
($2,727,193) |
($2,003,500) |
$1,279,807 |
$15,357,688 |
43822 |
49141516 |
TRUE |
7846308 |
$674,160,714 |