US Banks are insolvent as a group. (heck out Fed Numbers)

Total Borrowings of Depository Institutions from the Federal Reserve (BORROW) went from $290.105 billion in September to $648.319 billion in October. That is a 123.50% increase in just one month or a 1481.73% annualized increase. That is also 4.7% of GDP (2007). Currently, there is no evidence at all that the pace of borrowing is slowing down. Obviously, there is an upper limit somewhere.

Non-Borrowed Reserves of Depository Institutions (BOBNONBR) went from -$187.305 billion in September to -$332.750 billion in October. That is a 77.65% increase in just one month or a 931.82% annualized increase. That is also 2.4% of GDP (2007). In plain simple English: Banks are insolvent as a group. The money coming out of the ATM is money borrowed from the Fed. Currently, there is no evidence at all that the health of banks is improving.

Total Borrowing (BORROW) and Non-Borrowed Reserves (BOBNONBR) have clearly blown past each other as the ponzi scheme that was the US financial system finally and suddenly unraveled. This is EXACTLY what happened in Japan. This is EXACTLY how Japan ‘liquefied’ it’s overleveraged, overextended and insolvent banks. Creating the infamous Japanese ‘zombie’ banks resulted in deflation and economic stagnation that is now referred to as the Lost Decade.

Total Borrowings (BORROW) can be broken down into its various sources. Discount Window Borrowings of Depository Institutions from the Federal Reserve (DISCBORR) are one such source. Discount Window Borrows went from $140.291 billion in September to $403.541 billion in October. That is a 187.65% increase in just one month or a 2251.75% annualized increase. Interestingly enough, the discount window wasn’t really tapped until September, with borrowings in August only being $18.078 billion. Clearly, this is a new source of funds for financial firms and may have to do with the fact that Bernanke has removed the negative stigma of tapping the window. He has also made almost everybody and his mamma eligible. Collateral requirements have also been severely degraded to the point where a dead donkey would probably qualify.

所有跟帖： 

• can u tell us the cost of borrowing from fed? and -longtermInvestor- ♂ (371 bytes) () 11/13/2008 postreply 08:29:48