I am quite puzzled:

Donkey's arguement (no lockdown) makes some sense, so does Li's (lockdown) which is in opposite to Donkey's.

 Li is an expert in this subject if I recall correctly.  But 花菜 is an expert too (as well, if I recall correctly), yet she seems to agree with Donkey.

Virology is a complex subject I believe, but with this particular case of covid-19 and in hindsight over two years, should the right strategy be edvident if not obvious by now?

So, there must somewhere in interpreting the mechanism of the spread of virus the experts don't agree with one another. Where and what is that diverging point as the experts turn against one another?

 

所有跟帖: 

这其实也是定义的不确定, -snowandlotus- 给 snowandlotus 发送悄悄话 snowandlotus 的博客首页 (551 bytes) () 05/03/2022 postreply 15:53:06

起碼可以做個數學模型之類預測一下吧? -中间小谢- 给 中间小谢 发送悄悄话 (218 bytes) () 05/03/2022 postreply 20:41:35

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