Strategy

本帖于 2009-07-17 17:21:51 时间, 由普通用户 康MM 编辑

If it shows tail, switch coin, until you get a head, then keep using this coin forever.
The idea to find the prob*****ility is to consider different cases:
1. the first toss is a head (the probability os which is 1/4)
2. getting the first head on second toss (prob = (3/4)*(1/4))
3. getting the first head on third too (prob = (3/4)*(3/4)*(1/4))
and so on,...

The above cases will give you different positions on ladder when you are sure you have the fair coin, from this moment you start a random walk up and down with the same probability.

所有跟帖: 

回复:Strategy -Commentate- 给 Commentate 发送悄悄话 (64 bytes) () 07/17/2009 postreply 10:23:02

If there are m steps up and n steps down -屋漏痕- 给 屋漏痕 发送悄悄话 屋漏痕 的博客首页 (61 bytes) () 07/17/2009 postreply 10:55:12

Cool, then we are done! -Commentate- 给 Commentate 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 07/17/2009 postreply 11:24:38

What about the chance of staying on the ladder? -dayuwang- 给 dayuwang 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 07/17/2009 postreply 12:29:09

0... if one keeps walking. -屋漏痕- 给 屋漏痕 发送悄悄话 屋漏痕 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 07/17/2009 postreply 12:50:45

回复:What about the chance of staying on the ladder? -crazy_math- 给 crazy_math 发送悄悄话 (133 bytes) () 08/07/2009 postreply 02:22:02

差不多就是这样 -康MM- 给 康MM 发送悄悄话 康MM 的博客首页 (52 bytes) () 07/17/2009 postreply 17:19:34

这样的考官挺折磨人。胆小的人碰上就倒霉了:)不过你倒给提了个好醒。谢谢! -戏雨飞鹰- 给 戏雨飞鹰 发送悄悄话 戏雨飞鹰 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 07/18/2009 postreply 07:26:42

回复:Strategy -雪山飞鱼- 给 雪山飞鱼 发送悄悄话 (169 bytes) () 07/18/2009 postreply 10:47:47

的确当时没细想。不过, -Commentate- 给 Commentate 发送悄悄话 (136 bytes) () 07/18/2009 postreply 15:20:43

解释一下我的想法 -雪山飞鱼- 给 雪山飞鱼 发送悄悄话 (479 bytes) () 07/18/2009 postreply 16:11:32

不是很明白 -Commentate- 给 Commentate 发送悄悄话 (259 bytes) () 07/18/2009 postreply 18:31:39

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