应该学学经济了.

来源: 天下多蚤 于 2012-01-06 08:34:22 [] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读： 次 (868 bytes)

Let's list the reasons why 1980 gold bubble bursted:

1) Little national debts

2) Real interest rate positive

3) All money in circulation were backed by gold and more in terms prices

So what it today's situition:

1) National debts to GDP 1:1 and growing fast

2) Real interest rate has been negative and will be for the forseeable future

3) only a small fraction of money in circulation is backed by gold

So Will FED dare to raise the interest rate? Answer, if they do, then they immediately bankrupt the nation because debt payments will skyrocket.

That is not to mention real interest rate will completely pop the real estate bubble that is artificially floated with low interest rate.

So any one use above chart only sees the gold price high in devalued USD. Get real.

LOL

所有跟帖： 

• 回复：应该学学经济了. -392- ♂ 给 392 发送悄悄话 392 的博客首页 (117 bytes) () 01/06/2012 postreply 08:44:03

• Rate double will kill the market and real estate -天下多蚤- ♀ 给 天下多蚤 发送悄悄话 (514 bytes) () 01/06/2012 postreply 09:55:37

• 几个问题， -qiaoshe- ♀ 给 qiaoshe 发送悄悄话 qiaoshe 的博客首页 (451 bytes) () 01/06/2012 postreply 09:37:08

• 这个世界就是这么诡异，美国统治世界凭的就是美金和大刀， -qiaoshe- ♀ 给 qiaoshe 发送悄悄话 qiaoshe 的博客首页 (43 bytes) () 01/06/2012 postreply 09:55:22

• 这个世界并不诡异，没有一个强权可以永远保持自己的优势. -天下多蚤- ♀ 给 天下多蚤 发送悄悄话 (98 bytes) () 01/06/2012 postreply 10:29:01

• 永远? We are talking about 2012 -futufutu- ♂ 给 futufutu 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 01/06/2012 postreply 16:54:12

• So what about 2012? -天下多蚤- ♀ 给 天下多蚤 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 01/06/2012 postreply 19:09:56

• I think the best answers are what you do your own research. -天下多蚤- ♀ 给 天下多蚤 发送悄悄话 (2116 bytes) () 01/06/2012 postreply 10:08:24

• 回复qiaoshe: -hercules007- ♂ 给 hercules007 发送悄悄话 hercules007 的博客首页 (549 bytes) () 01/06/2012 postreply 12:10:39

• 纠错---2011（not 2010）年美元黄金涨了10.40% -hercules007- ♂ 给 hercules007 发送悄悄话 hercules007 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 01/06/2012 postreply 12:58:51

• wow, good answer -Seasy- ♀ 给 Seasy 发送悄悄话 Seasy 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 01/06/2012 postreply 14:24:54

• 有才,先赞一个! 看来你是对黄金情有独钟. 对我来说, -qiaoshe- ♀ 给 qiaoshe 发送悄悄话 qiaoshe 的博客首页 (384 bytes) () 01/06/2012 postreply 18:57:03

• So try to buy $100k rice, or better yet, 1 million USD of any co -天下多蚤- ♀ 给 天下多蚤 发送悄悄话 (869 bytes) () 01/06/2012 postreply 19:19:07

• 任何东西开始泛滥的时候,,, -hercules007- ♂ 给 hercules007 发送悄悄话 hercules007 的博客首页 (1053 bytes) () 01/07/2012 postreply 01:48:31

• 回复：任何东西开始泛滥的时候,,, -hercules007- ♂ 给 hercules007 发送悄悄话 hercules007 的博客首页 (602 bytes) () 01/07/2012 postreply 02:27:52

• 呵呵，明白人。 -hercules007- ♂ 给 hercules007 发送悄悄话 hercules007 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 01/06/2012 postreply 11:53:16

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