学习了一下纳粹德国期间德国的经济和股票. -:)

State Intervention: Unlike a free market, the performance of stocks during this period was largely dictated by government policy. Firms that aligned with the regime’s priorities—whether through direct state contracts or ideological conformity—generally fared better.

Manipulated Market Signals: Because the government often intervened to stabilize or direct economic activity, the “performance” of a stock did not always reflect the underlying fundamentals. Instead, it was more an indicator of political favor and access to state resources.

Historical Retrospective: Analysis of stock performance during this era must be understood in context. The state’s role in the economy makes it challenging to separate genuine market success from politically driven outcomes.

 

In summary, sectors tied to rearmament, heavy industry, chemicals, and infrastructure generally enjoyed better stock performance due to government support, while consumer-oriented, export-dependent, and traditional financial sectors struggled amidst economic downturn and heavy state intervention.

 

所有跟帖: 

你是说现在纳粹时代重现? -秋前- 给 秋前 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 03/15/2025 postreply 05:43:25

哈哈. 我啥也没说. 那都是你说的. -:) -NCNE- 给 NCNE 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 03/15/2025 postreply 08:43:20

这个是幸存者偏差啊。当时美国是罗斯福时代,也是美国历史上政府监管最大的时期 -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 (95 bytes) () 03/15/2025 postreply 06:44:53

一个用国法、 一个用帮规. 天下那有不监管的. -NCNE- 给 NCNE 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 03/15/2025 postreply 09:49:26

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