Back online, some historical QQQ pattern (repost)

本帖于 2024-08-05 17:03:44 时间, 由普通用户 三心三意 编辑

Sharing a few more QQQ chart patterns during the time 200D EMA was crossed for the first time when QQQ came down from the top. I pick a few dramatic moments such as Dotcom crash, 08 finanical crash, COVID crash, etc, but you can see these kind of patterns pretty consistently in other times as well. This is NOT 100% reliable but probablity is pretty high. Also, these are not the only patterns but I pick them as they are easy to recognize

GreenLine == 200D EMA

OrangeLine == 50D EMA

Pattern 1: QQQ penetrate 200D EMA, and not able to recover from it quickly (ie, in next 2-3 days), in majority of time, QQQ would go down much further. You can see this in 2008 crash  and 2022 crash (chart below)

 

 

Pattern 2: If QQQ manage to hold EMA200 and start to bounce (again, sometimes it takes 2-3 days to confirm), it would almost always rebound back and touch EMA50 again. See 2018 crash, 2020 Covid Crash, and 2000 Dotcom crash

所有跟帖: 

Thanks for sharing -QQQ_AI- 给 QQQ_AI 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/05/2024 postreply 17:07:43

Pattern 2 highly likely this time -五谷不分- 给 五谷不分 发送悄悄话 五谷不分 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/05/2024 postreply 17:16:53

谢谢! 我看出来是有这么一种规律,可是同时我又困惑并想到了先有鸡还是先有蛋的问题 -这样子- 给 这样子 发送悄悄话 (233 bytes) () 08/05/2024 postreply 17:21:30

BTW, I have not been able to find a single time.... -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 (322 bytes) () 08/05/2024 postreply 17:26:54

Pattern 3 of QQQ after touching 200EMA -Beyond_Soros- 给 Beyond_Soros 发送悄悄话 Beyond_Soros 的博客首页 (100744 bytes) () 08/05/2024 postreply 18:48:16

技术好帖! -与庄共舞- 给 与庄共舞 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/05/2024 postreply 19:55:21

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