Not at this level, one will fall for sure

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不一定,80年代中期超过10%的利率,标普仍然进入super bull run -lionhill- 给 lionhill 发送悄悄话 lionhill 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/15/2026 postreply 05:41:23

73~82年,整整十年,17%;昨天刚刚复习了这段,哈 -名校FAN- 给 名校FAN 发送悄悄话 名校FAN 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/15/2026 postreply 05:43:18

没写清楚应该是80年代中开始的 -lionhill- 给 lionhill 发送悄悄话 lionhill 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/15/2026 postreply 05:46:35

Jan 1980 ($107) to Sep 1981 ($116), 标普500 gained roughly 8% -lionhill- 给 lionhill 发送悄悄话 lionhill 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/15/2026 postreply 05:52:52

10-year yield hit 15.32% on August 28, 1981, 10.8% Jan 1980 -lionhill- 给 lionhill 发送悄悄话 lionhill 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/15/2026 postreply 05:54:52

SPX "enter" into superbull, not finish superbull in 70s -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/15/2026 postreply 05:55:04

Anyway, one of them will fall. Let's wait and see -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/15/2026 postreply 05:55:36

If oil retreat and higher productivity from AI confirms, -lionhill- 给 lionhill 发送悄悄话 lionhill 的博客首页 (29 bytes) () 05/15/2026 postreply 06:01:52

Yes, one of them will fall. I dont know which one -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/15/2026 postreply 06:08:40

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