转载一点关于油价供求关系的片段

Peak oil is no longer a problem, but peak storage is. If we could ship the excess overseas, producers would get a fair price for the quality of their products. That would lead them to invest in more discovery.---油价下跌除了政治原因，这个是重要根源之一。

One solution would be to lift the restriction on crude oil exports that dates back to the 1970s, when we were feeling protectionist. It is illegal for us to export crude oil. And because all the new oil is light sweet crude, the refiners can only use so much. That means the crude oil is piling up.---原油出口？可能么？等待下一届总统来解决？抄底还有时间。

The rest of the world's economy stinks. Russia and Europe are flirting with recession. China is a black box, but it is not as robust as we thought it was. Extra supply in the U.S. combined with less demand than expected is leading to temporary low oil prices. But strategically and economically, oil is too important for the price to get too low for too long.---再次强调油价下跌原因，并认为油价能回来。

Most of the producers said that at $65/bbl they can still make money, but at $45/bbl, they have to cut off production. ---短期在这之间徘徊？

For investors, the prospect of oil back at $100/bbl is not the end of the world. With oil prices down 20% from recent highs and the best companies down over 30% in value, it is a buying opportunity. It means the entire oil sector has just gone on sale, including the companies building the infrastructure. ---买，买，买

 

所有跟帖： 

• 40 dollars是个很reasonable price。oil的储量估计300年。 -sweetptt- ♂ (0 bytes) () 12/19/2014 postreply 22:45:09

• 你说不能出口的这个事情，有气做榜样。 -破烂熊- ♀ (35 bytes) () 12/19/2014 postreply 23:14:07

• SD快破产了吧 -越王剑- ♂ (0 bytes) () 12/20/2014 postreply 05:29:43

• 都说该买了，也许就不涨。一般说低油价刺激经济，现在SUV销量应该不错，机票也便宜了吧。 -云起千百度- ♀ (0 bytes) () 12/19/2014 postreply 22:51:54

• 我的车，原来灌满要85-90刀，现在不到70刀就满了。两周灌一次，一个月就是50刀省下。 -怀着我的梦想- ♀ (0 bytes) () 12/19/2014 postreply 23:01:07

• 人比人气死人。我两部车一周要灌4次。 -sweetptt- ♂ (0 bytes) () 12/19/2014 postreply 23:07:30

• 甜薯天天开车滥转，我每天开车去yoga，顺带买菜仅此。 -怀着我的梦想- ♀ (0 bytes) () 12/19/2014 postreply 23:13:46

• 我家的都是一周一次，每月省200 -云起千百度- ♀ (6 bytes) () 12/19/2014 postreply 23:10:49

• 买的周期很长的。目前看来如果出口是解决办法， -破烂熊- ♀ (142 bytes) () 12/19/2014 postreply 23:05:14

• 人人都认为还要跌的时候就差不多了 -唯一2005- ♀ (0 bytes) () 12/20/2014 postreply 05:53:15

• 俺本来因为油价上涨，使劲走路，减了几磅； -海泠- ♀ (78 bytes) () 12/20/2014 postreply 07:10:14

• 有什么好建议吗？ -微雨新晴- ♀ (186 bytes) () 12/20/2014 postreply 08:24:26

• 拣便宜呀，你都说了。。。：) -破烂熊- ♀ (0 bytes) () 12/20/2014 postreply 14:49:30