把M大预测的timeframe 乘以3，magnitude 除以3

可以显著的提高准确率。 remember the story in "American Pie"? 

 

所有跟帖： 

• that statement comes from deep research about your -pediatrician2- ♂ (103 bytes) () 11/11/2010 postreply 11:00:32

• OMG, you did deep reseach on that? -Conehead- ♂ (43 bytes) () 11/11/2010 postreply 11:02:59

• Actually I agree with you quite a bit -Conehead- ♂ (27 bytes) () 11/11/2010 postreply 11:08:38

• And the degree of social consequence -Conehead- ♂ (24 bytes) () 11/11/2010 postreply 11:09:54

• 油确实不够用了! :) -天下无马- ♂ (482 bytes) () 11/11/2010 postreply 10:31:55

• 我认为房价一定会跌，就像98年的香港，之前，没有人认为房价会跌 -longnv- ♀ (0 bytes) () 11/11/2010 postreply 11:12:32

• 同意非线性思维，但用于美国的房地产。我常常想， -youandmychina- ♂ (229 bytes) () 11/11/2010 postreply 12:15:09

• 处处是破产房，而且都砸在手里了,没人租了 是不可能的. -youxi88- ♀ (25 bytes) () 11/11/2010 postreply 15:47:32

• Second that: -Conehead- ♂ (127 bytes) () 11/11/2010 postreply 10:51:49