李四:其中的一个孩子是男孩,另一个,你猜猜看是男孩还是女孩?
问题:
张三应该怎么猜呢?猜男孩的概率大还是猜女孩的概率大?还是一样大?
the search space consists of only 3 possibilities (b,b),(b,g) and (g,b).[b for boy, g for girl] the chance of the other being girl is 2/3.
如果李四这么说:老大是男孩,猜猜老二是男孩还是女孩?
问题:
张三应该怎么猜呢?猜男孩的概率大还是猜女孩的概率大?还是一样大?
the search space consists of only 2 possibilities (b,b) and (b,g).[b for boy, g for girl] the gender of the other one is independent of the information.
问题:
张三应该怎么猜呢?猜男孩的概率大还是猜女孩的概率大?还是一样大?
the search space consists of only 3 possibilities (b,b),(b,g) and (g,b).[b for boy, g for girl] the chance of the other being girl is 2/3.
如果李四这么说:老大是男孩,猜猜老二是男孩还是女孩?
问题:
张三应该怎么猜呢?猜男孩的概率大还是猜女孩的概率大?还是一样大?
the search space consists of only 2 possibilities (b,b) and (b,g).[b for boy, g for girl] the gender of the other one is independent of the information.