Pricing model

Oil companies are priced in terms of their reserve life
and long term oil price. Simply put,
it's something like:

company stock price = reserve life X long term oil price

nobody dares to use the current $130 as long term oil
price. According to some analysts, $70-80 is used.
This is significantly higher than the previous price
that has been used a year ago, which was about $40-50.

That is why you see some oil companies have appreciated
80-90% over last year. CNQ, for example.

It takes time for people to get used to $100 plus oil,
along the way you'll see energy company prices going
up and up. Hold a few energy companies, you'll be
very happy about it.

Happy trading.

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老大明鉴,所有的矿物开采公司都以这个来定价 -buydip?- 给 buydip? 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 06/06/2008 postreply 10:34:17

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