Pricing model

来源: 2008-06-06 10:16:00 [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读:

Oil companies are priced in terms of their reserve life
and long term oil price. Simply put,
it's something like:

company stock price = reserve life X long term oil price

nobody dares to use the current $130 as long term oil
price. According to some analysts, $70-80 is used.
This is significantly higher than the previous price
that has been used a year ago, which was about $40-50.

That is why you see some oil companies have appreciated
80-90% over last year. CNQ, for example.

It takes time for people to get used to $100 plus oil,
along the way you'll see energy company prices going
up and up. Hold a few energy companies, you'll be
very happy about it.

Happy trading.