I guess he meant for this;

For a coin toss, prob(H) = p, but we do nto know p yet.
We estimate this p as uniformly dist. in [0,1].

The first coin toss gives a H.

Then what is your estimate for the second coin toss?

I am just guessing, not sure if he meant exactly this..

所有跟帖： 

• 回复：I guess he meant for this; -right..- ♀ (350 bytes) () 11/29/2004 postreply 10:01:17

• 1/3? -zzzzzzzzzz- ♀ (36 bytes) () 11/29/2004 postreply 11:11:51

• Correction - should be 2/3 -zzzzzzzzzz- ♀ (163 bytes) () 11/29/2004 postreply 11:33:39

• 回复：Correction - should be 2/3 -correct- ♀ (7 bytes) () 11/29/2004 postreply 12:46:26