Your Taxes Are About to Change—Perhaps Not the Way You Think

来源: allydeng 2016-11-10 10:19:51 [] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读: 次 (4885 bytes)

Income-tax rates: Both Messrs. Trump's and Ryan's plans would consolidate the current rates on "ordinary" income such as wages and interest from seven brackets to just three--12%, 25% and 33%. The top rate of 33% would take effect for married couples who earn about $225,000 or more of taxable income; currently that rate kicks in for couples making $ 467,000. The top rate for singles would take effect for those making about $186,000, compared with $415,000 now, according to the Tax Policy Center in Washington.

Mr. Camp's plan would also have three rates, with a top one set at 35%. The current top rate is 39.6%.

The upshot is that while most people would have lower tax bills, higher earners would save much more. According to the Tax Policy Center, nearly half the benefits from the Trump plan would go to the top 1% of households--those earning more than about $700,000. It could also increase taxes on many single parents and two-parent families with more than two children, although the Trump campaign said it would make sure this didn't happen.

Deductions and credits: All three plans would make it harder for individuals to benefit from specific tax deductions, for several reasons. One is that each plan raises the amount of the "standard" deduction, which gives taxpayers less need to break out deductions for mortgage interest, charitable gifts, state taxes and the like on Schedule A.

In addition, the value of a deduction drops as a taxpayer's rate goes down. Thus higher earners may want to make charitable gifts this year to reap a greater benefit.

Each of the three plans also imposes other limits on deductions. For example, Mr. Trump's plan would cap the value of Schedule A deductions at $100,000 for singles and $200,000 for married couples. Mr. Ryan's plan would eliminate all deductions other than those for mortgage interest and charitable gifts. The Camp plan limits mortgage interest and would only allow charitable deductions above 2% of income.

The Trump plan is notable in offering a child-care tax benefit, even if the parents don't pay for child care.

Capital gains and qualified dividends: Mr. Trump's plan would leave the current rate structure of 0%, 15% and 20% in place.

Mr. Ryan's plan would revert to an older code provision that taxes capital gains, dividends and interest as ordinary income--after excluding 50% of it. Thus lower earners would see their rate rise from 0% to 6%, those in the middle would owe 12.5%, and the rate for top earners would fall to 16.5% from top 20%.

The Camp plan takes a similar approach but gives a 40% exclusion for capital gains and dividends, for a top rate of 21%.

Both the Trump and Ryan plans would eliminate a 3.8% surtax on net investment income. The Camp plan would retain the surtax but in some cases reduce it to 2.28%.

Alternative minimum tax: All three plans would eliminate the alternative minimum tax (http://www.wsj.com/articles/ SB10001424052702304071004579409051347967392), a levy that rescinds tax breaks and the benefit of lower brackets for people it applies to.

Estate and gift taxes: Mr. Ryan's plan would eliminate all gift and estate taxes. Mr. Trump's plan would also eliminate these levies, but it would impose income taxes on the capital gains of assets held at death--beyond an exemption of about $5 million per person or $10 million per couple.

The Camp plan has no proposal on gift and estate taxes.

Revenue effects: These sweeping changes don't come cheap. The changes to individuals' taxes in Mr. Trump's plan would reduce federal revenue by an estimated $3.5 trillion over 10 years, while Mr. Ryan's plan reduced it by an estimated $ 2.2 trillion. Mr. Camp's plan doesn't raise or lower much revenue over 10 years, but reductions after 10 years could be significant. These figures don't take into account changes in the economy that could raise or lower tax revenue.

Write to Laura Saunders at laura.saunders@wsj.com (mailto:laura.saunders@wsj.com)

-Laura Saunders; 415-439-6400; AskNewswires@dowjones.com

所有跟帖: 

预算还没有平衡,就开始减税 -柠檬椰子汁- 给 柠檬椰子汁 发送悄悄话 柠檬椰子汁 的博客首页 (158 bytes) () 11/10/2016 postreply 10:43:58

是不是也可以 不增国债, 但减 -iamfouryear- 给 iamfouryear 发送悄悄话 iamfouryear 的博客首页 (334 bytes) () 11/10/2016 postreply 11:01:40

NONONO。美元霸权是美国繁荣的基石。 -sweetptt- 给 sweetptt 发送悄悄话 sweetptt 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 11/10/2016 postreply 11:07:37

国防企业让你减吗? -柠檬椰子汁- 给 柠檬椰子汁 发送悄悄话 柠檬椰子汁 的博客首页 (502 bytes) () 11/10/2016 postreply 11:08:28

是的,如果川总敢大力裁减军费,咱对他刮目相看,可惜没这打算,只会捏软柿子 -ianma- 给 ianma 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 11/10/2016 postreply 12:16:51

He will say anything to get elected, worse than a politician -柠檬椰子汁- 给 柠檬椰子汁 发送悄悄话 柠檬椰子汁 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 11/10/2016 postreply 13:20:21

这个在商学院有定理,还获得过诺奖。你想一下 -sweetptt- 给 sweetptt 发送悄悄话 sweetptt 的博客首页 (74 bytes) () 11/10/2016 postreply 11:07:04

逻辑上不成立 -柠檬椰子汁- 给 柠檬椰子汁 发送悄悄话 柠檬椰子汁 的博客首页 (350 bytes) () 11/10/2016 postreply 11:13:06

难道是one-way street?至少这一点是真实的 -sweetptt- 给 sweetptt 发送悄悄话 sweetptt 的博客首页 (168 bytes) () 11/10/2016 postreply 11:16:20

这些都是政治口号和幌子,减税的目的是drain the swamp,把政府变小。 -柠檬椰子汁- 给 柠檬椰子汁 发送悄悄话 柠檬椰子汁 的博客首页 (409 bytes) () 11/10/2016 postreply 11:25:12

15年前布什的风光 -柠檬椰子汁- 给 柠檬椰子汁 发送悄悄话 柠檬椰子汁 的博客首页 (12110 bytes) () 11/10/2016 postreply 11:35:55

again,这个度在什么地方?如果大政府有用的话,我们改成共产主义好了。 -sweetptt- 给 sweetptt 发送悄悄话 sweetptt 的博客首页 (203 bytes) () 11/10/2016 postreply 11:43:03

关键是,布什也没减小政府。 -Morning3evening4- 给 Morning3evening4 发送悄悄话 Morning3evening4 的博客首页 (319 bytes) () 11/10/2016 postreply 11:48:59

相信川普比你胸怀宽一些,不会像你一样老想怎样多分饼。 关键是把饼做大。 -不开窍- 给 不开窍 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 11/10/2016 postreply 12:15:54

哈哈,所以我当不了总统。ss这个饼也没我的份。。 -Morning3evening4- 给 Morning3evening4 发送悄悄话 Morning3evening4 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 11/10/2016 postreply 12:19:10

关键是没有证据说明减少税率会刺激经济,那个仅仅是政治口号 -柠檬椰子汁- 给 柠檬椰子汁 发送悄悄话 柠檬椰子汁 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 11/10/2016 postreply 12:20:52

减税但附加条件:比如有提议海外减税回来的钱要有部分放入国家基础建设专项资金。 -IEbird- 给 IEbird 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 11/10/2016 postreply 12:34:38

那还叫减税吗?政府直接把钱放入国家基础建设专项资金不就完了? -柠檬椰子汁- 给 柠檬椰子汁 发送悄悄话 柠檬椰子汁 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 11/10/2016 postreply 12:39:03

国家与企业联手效益肯定高。stimulation package都被地方政府挪用了。 -IEbird- 给 IEbird 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 11/10/2016 postreply 12:47:17

共和党人不同意,他们要政府从经济中抽身 -柠檬椰子汁- 给 柠檬椰子汁 发送悄悄话 柠檬椰子汁 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 11/10/2016 postreply 12:53:31

拭目以待如何兑现大选承诺。 -IEbird- 给 IEbird 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 11/10/2016 postreply 12:56:19

里根执政时期,减税同时也削减福利对经济增长有刺激作用的。 -北美金花- 给 北美金花 发送悄悄话 北美金花 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 11/10/2016 postreply 12:56:13

别忘了他借了很多钱。国债从他那个时代开始猛涨的。 -Morning3evening4- 给 Morning3evening4 发送悄悄话 Morning3evening4 的博客首页 (608 bytes) () 11/10/2016 postreply 13:18:17

+1 -ianma- 给 ianma 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 11/10/2016 postreply 14:22:33

克林顿确实搞得好。可惜他老婆没有当总统的命。 -北美金花- 给 北美金花 发送悄悄话 北美金花 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 11/10/2016 postreply 15:28:08

经济好的是生意人聪明,经济不好是政府的错。政府预算和经济发展还是不一样的 -柠檬椰子汁- 给 柠檬椰子汁 发送悄悄话 柠檬椰子汁 的博客首页 (1543 bytes) () 11/10/2016 postreply 11:49:31

最后吃亏的是中产。 -Morning3evening4- 给 Morning3evening4 发送悄悄话 Morning3evening4 的博客首页 (204 bytes) () 11/10/2016 postreply 11:45:33

如果能真正裁减联邦政府是件好事 -ianma- 给 ianma 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 11/10/2016 postreply 12:13:23

川普就是要走这步棋的。 小布什做不到,川普能做到。 -不开窍- 给 不开窍 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 11/10/2016 postreply 12:18:17

他敢裁军费才是真干实事,否则无非就是跟布什一样裁减教育,科研费用而已 -ianma- 给 ianma 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 11/10/2016 postreply 12:19:54

有什么证据川普可以做到?川普做过政府工作吗? -柠檬椰子汁- 给 柠檬椰子汁 发送悄悄话 柠檬椰子汁 的博客首页 (479 bytes) () 11/10/2016 postreply 12:31:46

这位不开窍兄弟当年对我谈布什的减税就很有意见的。 -Morning3evening4- 给 Morning3evening4 发送悄悄话 Morning3evening4 的博客首页 (92 bytes) () 11/10/2016 postreply 12:56:41

你再说一遍社会保险制度是哪个党,哪个总统建立的? 看你该不该挨砖头. -不开窍- 给 不开窍 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 11/11/2016 postreply 02:35:54

7, 历史追回去远点,你还可以说黑奴解放还是共和党的林肯做的呢。 -Morning3evening4- 给 Morning3evening4 发送悄悄话 Morning3evening4 的博客首页 (746 bytes) () 11/11/2016 postreply 05:20:32

你太看重政客了。 从政经验不是加号,是减号。 正因为川普不是政客,才能做成事。 -不开窍- 给 不开窍 发送悄悄话 (84 bytes) () 11/11/2016 postreply 02:46:45

布什的减税计划没有刺激经济相反地引发了08/09年的经济危机 -gqc- 给 gqc 发送悄悄话 gqc 的博客首页 (452 bytes) () 11/10/2016 postreply 16:21:46

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