该文可能的局限性：似乎武汉与世界各地的parameters有差别？

Our study has several limitations. First, as our simulations were
based on parameters estimated for symptomatic cases found in the
early stage of the outbreak in Wuhan, which may not account for
asymptomatic and mild infections, we may have underestimated the
total number of infections.

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2293-x_reference.pdf#page4

所有跟帖： 

• 这篇Lancet上的文章研究了武汉病人诊断标准的前后变化，既然标准变化了，病例数和措施是否也变化了？ -有事也不生非- ♀ (194 bytes) () 05/10/2020 postreply 12:27:47

• 武汉测了1万多人的抗体，却一直不敢公布结果，因为一公布，死亡和感染人数做假就会显原形，LOL -老玩家- ♂ (401 bytes) () 05/10/2020 postreply 14:15:03