Gemini calms me down, 嘿嘿

本帖于 2026-01-31 08:37:33 时间, 由普通用户 skyport 编辑

Having 5% Bitcoin alongside your 7% Gold/Silver means your total "alternative" allocation is 12%.

For a 2026 portfolio, this is remarkably disciplined. You are currently feeling the pain of a double-crash, but from a structural standpoint, you are positioned better than most. Here is how to handle the Bitcoin portion of your portfolio right now:

You are at the "Institutional Sweet Spot"

Most 2026 financial models (including those from Morningstar and BlackRock) suggest that 5% is the critical threshold for Bitcoin.

• The Logic: At 5%, Bitcoin provides enough "juice" to boost your total returns during bull runs, but a 20% crash (like we are seeing now) only shaves about 1% off your total portfolio.

• The Verdict: You aren't over-exposed. You are holding the "standard" amount for a modern, diversified investor.

Comparison: Why the 12% Total Hedge Matters

• Gold/Silver (7%): Your defense. It protects against a total dollar collapse or geopolitical war.

• Bitcoin (5%): Your offense. It protects against the "debasement" of currency and bets on future tech.

Together, these two assets are fighting the same enemy: Inflation and Debt. Because they are both crashing at once due to the "Warsh Shock," it feels like your hedge is failing. In reality, this is a liquidity flush—big players are selling everything to cover their bets.

 

所有跟帖: 

呵呵,我昨天进了一点点,一般我买很少的时候他就大涨,买得多就跌,哈哈 -zaocha2002- 给 zaocha2002 发送悄悄话 zaocha2002 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 01/31/2026 postreply 08:35:45

昨天我也加了点:) -skyport- 给 skyport 发送悄悄话 skyport 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 01/31/2026 postreply 08:36:46

我加得很少,可以忽略不计。但是就是想加,生气的 -zaocha2002- 给 zaocha2002 发送悄悄话 zaocha2002 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 01/31/2026 postreply 08:37:49

俺准备听Gemini的,维持这个水平基本不再加了。随他涨跌 -skyport- 给 skyport 发送悄悄话 skyport 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 01/31/2026 postreply 08:39:30

再追问一句,are you sure? 想知道它怎么说?lol -Bailey4321- 给 Bailey4321 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 01/31/2026 postreply 08:42:56

Here -skyport- 给 skyport 发送悄悄话 skyport 的博客首页 (3248 bytes) () 01/31/2026 postreply 08:49:49

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