所以我们先把话说清楚：没有哪家公司会因为川普对 H-1B 签证加了10万美元的税就“牺牲人才”。为什么？因为人才不是财务报表上的一项支出，它是引擎。而事实是：印度人才就是这个引擎。
那公司们到底会怎么做？
科技巨头（Google、Amazon、Microsoft）： 他们会在公开场合抱怨、在华盛顿游说、在 CNBC 上哭诉“技术人才短缺”…… 然后私下里像掏零钱一样付掉那10万美元，因为不雇佣顶尖印度工程师的代价是它的100倍。
咨询巨头（Infosys、TCS、Accenture）： 他们会把成本转嫁给客户。签证要10万美元？恭喜你，你的项目成本刚刚涨了50万。问题解决。
初创公司： 有些会大喊“我们负担不起！”然后意识到替代方案是本地招聘——成本翻倍，技能减半。你猜他们会选哪个？（提示：他们还是会努力把印度人才带过来，只是在投资人电话里换个更好听的理由。）
华尔街和金融界： 你真的觉得高盛会说：“哎呀，我们因为这10万美元不能雇那个量化分析师了”？ 他们在 Cipriani 一顿公司晚餐就花掉那么多。美国经济靠的是印度代码、印度数学、印度数据管道。 签证费涨也好、降也好、变成一百万也好，公司们还是会找到办法。 因为有个不太光彩的事实：美国的创新已经外包给印度人才整整二十年了。
为什么公司不会妥协：
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因为截止日期不会等签证政策。
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因为人才比失败便宜。
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因为“印度制造，美国部署”是硅谷不言而喻的支柱。
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因为权力关系已经反转：不是印度人追签证，是公司追印度人。
真正的讽刺是：美国以为自己在给印度工程师加税，实际上是在给自己的公司加税。而这些公司会心甘情愿地买单，只为了把印度人才留在系统里。
所以，是的，10万美元很贵。
但失去那些让你的服务器运转、产品发货、股价维持的人？那是无价的。
辩论时间：你觉得谁会先妥协——公司，还是人才？
So let's get one thing straight no company is going to 'sacrifice talent' just because Trump slapped a $100k tax on H-1Bs. Why? Because talent isn't a line item on a balance sheet. It's the engine. And the truth is: Indian talent is that engine.
What will companies really do?
Big Tech (Google, Amazon, Microsoft): -They'll complain publicly, lobby in Washington, cry on CNBC about "shortage of skilled workers"... - And then quietly pay the $100k like it's pocket change because the cost of NOT hiring top Indian engineers is 100x bigger.
Consulting Giants (Infosys, TCS, Accenture): They'll just pass the cost on to clients. $100k for a visa? Congratulations, your project cost just went up $500k. Problem solved.
Startups: Some will scream "we can't afford this!" then realize the alternative is hiring locally at double the cost with half the skills. Guess what they'll pick? (Clue: they'll still fight to bring Indians over, just with a shinier excuse in investor calls.) Wall Street & Finance Do you really think Goldman Sachs will say, "Oh no, we can't hire that quant from IT because of $100k"?
They blow that much on one company dinner at Cipriani. The U.S. economy runs on Indian code, Indian math, Indian data pipelines. Raise the visa fee, lower it, make it a million dollars companies will still find ways Because here's the dirty little secret: American innovation has been outsourced to Indian talent for two decades. Why companies won't compromise -Because deadlines don't wait for visa policies. -Because talent is cheaper than failure. -Because "Made in India, Deployed in USA" is the unspoken backbone of Silicon Valley. -Because the power balance has flipped: Indians don't chase visas, companies chase Indians. The real joke? America thinks it's taxing Indian engineers. But in reality, it's taxing its own companies and those companies will happily pay the bill just to keep Indian talent in their system.
So yeah, $100k is expensive.
But losing the people who keep your servers running, your products shipped, and your stock price alive? That's priceless. Debate time: Who do you think will actually bend first the companies or the talent?
