Porcelana's favorite and a relatively optimistic one:
Unemployment rate: 17% Q2, 22% Q3, 12% Q4
https://www.yardeni.com/pub/yrieconomicforecast.pdf
A real estate crash is upon us.
California may be different and significantly better.
Big changes are upon us.
Retail malls: bad
Conference hotels/Vegas: bad
Hotels: bad
Warehouses: maybe good