What the CIA can't do

来源: renqiulan 于 2023-05-18 20:32:05 [] [博客] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 阅读数 : (3228 bytes)

Believe it or not, truth is what the Central Intelligence Agency is after. Indeed, intelligence and counterintelligence are all about truth because truth hurts, as the saying goes. Truth can always be weaponized to the detriment of a targeted entity. That's why every CIA officer is fully ready to cite this quote by Winston Churchill: "In wartime, truth is so precious that she should always be attended by a bodyguard of lies." It is interesting to note that Churchill loved truth as a cherished lady in danger. But then I digress.

The Cold War gave birth to the CIA. However, the Cold Warriors were not so adept at anti-terrorism. Following 9/11, along with other intelligence bureaucracies, the CIA was called on the carpet for failing to connect the dots. The missing lines and links might be a result of an honest mistake, but it was a fatal mistake nonetheless. Needless to say, some heads had to roll, figuratively speaking. That's called accountability.

Still, some conspiracy theorists never give up the notion of an omnipotent CIA in Teflon. They portray the CIA as the ultimate conspiracy practitioner that has somehow divinely brought about the Color Revolutions abroad while running a Deep State at home. The burden of proof is theirs and they have no proof whatsoever. But fools rush in and swallow their conspiracy theories hook, line, and sinker.


Popular movements such as the Color Revolutions, however, are quite beyond the reach of the CIA. For one thing, no one can engineer spontaneity. No plotter can choreograph hundreds of thousands of people from all walks of life into an organic force of change. The CIA plays no god. It is no god. At best, it can have a marginal impact on the ebb and flow of a popular movement. CIA or no CIA, people are more sophisticated and independent-minded than they are given credit for. Nicolae Ceau?escu learned it the hard way, didn't he?


Historically, Americans had their "wildcat strikes." Who else can herd the wildcats but the wildcats themselves? In 2004, Ukraine's Orange Revolutionaries were wildcats--intelligent, nimble, self-initiated and self-directed. There's no way the CIA could or can herd the wildcat revolutionaries with a magic wand. This fact is a major reason why America prefers to turn the screws on Putin and his ilk with economic sanctions. Let Putin blame America until the Russians blame him more. If and when the Russians blame Putin enough, the roots of a wildcat revolution will have a better chance to take hold in Russia. It is a waiting game the CIA is playing. By "waiting," I mean that the CIA is keeping an ear to the ground, not sitting on its hands.




Author: renqiulan

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• 晚安！ -花似鹿葱- ♀ 给 花似鹿葱 发送悄悄话 花似鹿葱 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/18/2023 postreply 20:40:00

• 葱姐晚安！ -renqiulan- ♂ 给 renqiulan 发送悄悄话 renqiulan 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/18/2023 postreply 20:46:23

• 老弟，你什么时候在这个课题上做工夫？ -LYJiang- ♂ 给 LYJiang 发送悄悄话 LYJiang 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/18/2023 postreply 20:45:36

• 江先生又取笑我。家事、国事、天下事，事事关心嘛。 -renqiulan- ♂ 给 renqiulan 发送悄悄话 renqiulan 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/18/2023 postreply 20:48:34

• 书生论政过瘾，还是吟风弄月过瘾？ -LYJiang- ♂ 给 LYJiang 发送悄悄话 LYJiang 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/18/2023 postreply 20:51:36

• 用心写，开心写，就过瘾。论政也好，吟诗也好。中国古人如是，今人不妨如是。何况在言论自由之乡？ -renqiulan- ♂ 给 renqiulan 发送悄悄话 renqiulan 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/18/2023 postreply 20:56:21

• 知你会这样对答的。好，收货。周末由你们夫妇做响导，领我们一游美国独立革命的根据地。咱们正在康州。晚了。 -LYJiang- ♂ 给 LYJiang 发送悄悄话 LYJiang 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/18/2023 postreply 21:00:51

• 先生晚安！ -renqiulan- ♂ 给 renqiulan 发送悄悄话 renqiulan 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/18/2023 postreply 21:01:48

• 且慢。文中的“Teflon”, 可否略为解释一下。我不晓。 -LYJiang- ♂ 给 LYJiang 发送悄悄话 LYJiang 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/18/2023 postreply 21:04:07

• Teflon 是一种保护质料。引伸为：即使任人攻击，也毫发不損。Ronald Reagan was in Teflon. -renqiulan- ♂ 给 renqiulan 发送悄悄话 renqiulan 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/18/2023 postreply 21:08:31

• 老弟，明白了。谢谢！ -LYJiang- ♂ 给 LYJiang 发送悄悄话 LYJiang 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/18/2023 postreply 21:09:47

• 何必客气？先生明日康州览胜愉快！ -renqiulan- ♂ 给 renqiulan 发送悄悄话 renqiulan 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/18/2023 postreply 21:12:07

• 里根时的议长M省的T O'Neill, 很有眼界的，不像如今。他与老里应合作不错吧。 -AP33912- ♂ 给 AP33912 发送悄悄话 AP33912 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/19/2023 postreply 03:58:00

• 对。基于所谓互谅原则，更基于各得其利的政治考量，彼此合作，缺一不可。而今两君皆已作古。谢谢AP! -renqiulan- ♂ 给 renqiulan 发送悄悄话 renqiulan 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/19/2023 postreply 06:30:32

• I like it when you throw doubt on the Deep State conspiracy. -寒苇- ♀ 给 寒苇 发送悄悄话 寒苇 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/18/2023 postreply 21:20:15

• Thanks, Wei Wei. All I ask is proof. No proof, all doubt. -renqiulan- ♂ 给 renqiulan 发送悄悄话 renqiulan 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/18/2023 postreply 21:22:43

• Conspiracy theories are oversold. Deep State blah blah blah. -寒苇- ♀ 给 寒苇 发送悄悄话 寒苇 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/18/2023 postreply 21:26:48

• Hahaha! Seriously, we need a dose of skepticism. -renqiulan- ♂ 给 renqiulan 发送悄悄话 renqiulan 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/18/2023 postreply 21:29:30

• BTW,do you believe that George Washington had a spy network? -寒苇- ♀ 给 寒苇 发送悄悄话 寒苇 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/18/2023 postreply 21:31:35

• Are you referring to the novel "The Inner Circle"? -renqiulan- ♂ 给 renqiulan 发送悄悄话 renqiulan 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/18/2023 postreply 21:33:24

• Now I can say, literally, we're on the same page. -寒苇- ♀ 给 寒苇 发送悄悄话 寒苇 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/18/2023 postreply 21:34:29

• You're so well-read in literature and history. Amazing. -renqiulan- ♂ 给 renqiulan 发送悄悄话 renqiulan 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/18/2023 postreply 21:36:36

• You're making me blush, again. -寒苇- ♀ 给 寒苇 发送悄悄话 寒苇 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/18/2023 postreply 21:48:27

• Maybe you're showing your true color. -renqiulan- ♂ 给 renqiulan 发送悄悄话 renqiulan 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/18/2023 postreply 21:49:19

• Man, have you ever run out of humor? -寒苇- ♀ 给 寒苇 发送悄悄话 寒苇 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/18/2023 postreply 21:50:47

• Nope. And you? -renqiulan- ♂ 给 renqiulan 发送悄悄话 renqiulan 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/18/2023 postreply 21:51:15

• Hardly, when you're my interlocutor. -寒苇- ♀ 给 寒苇 发送悄悄话 寒苇 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/18/2023 postreply 21:55:00

• Same here. -renqiulan- ♂ 给 renqiulan 发送悄悄话 renqiulan 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/18/2023 postreply 21:55:35

• CIA的大本营在VA，开车经过时，老想起电影里面，他们训练成员，很严格。。。。。。。。。。。 -lovecat08- ♀ 给 lovecat08 发送悄悄话 lovecat08 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/18/2023 postreply 21:32:27

• 看过DC spy 博物馆，就有Mclean CIA的人卖情报给俄国spy，把东西放在自家垃圾桶里，被抓到了。。。。。。 -lovecat08- ♀ 给 lovecat08 发送悄悄话 lovecat08 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/18/2023 postreply 21:36:34

• 晚安！秋兰。 -lovecat08- ♀ 给 lovecat08 发送悄悄话 lovecat08 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/18/2023 postreply 21:39:14

• Goodnight, Madam Cat! -renqiulan- ♂ 给 renqiulan 发送悄悄话 renqiulan 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/18/2023 postreply 21:44:29

• I rely on open sources. We're taxpayers. We should care. -renqiulan- ♂ 给 renqiulan 发送悄悄话 renqiulan 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/18/2023 postreply 21:43:56

• 小时候我家有一本书《中央情报局内幕故事》，内部读物，第一次对中情局有认识，想当女特务，详看早期博 -花似鹿葱- ♀ 给 花似鹿葱 发送悄悄话 花似鹿葱 的博客首页 (164 bytes) () 05/19/2023 postreply 05:19:57

• 让我找来看看。谢谢葱姐！ -renqiulan- ♂ 给 renqiulan 发送悄悄话 renqiulan 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/19/2023 postreply 06:26:49

• You must be a nocturnal netizen. -shuier- ♀ 给 shuier 发送悄悄话 shuier 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/19/2023 postreply 07:17:32

• Not quite true. Both of us are here in the morning. -renqiulan- ♂ 给 renqiulan 发送悄悄话 renqiulan 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/19/2023 postreply 07:18:27

• Haha, true. I didn't expect you to write sth about the CIA. -shuier- ♀ 给 shuier 发送悄悄话 shuier 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/19/2023 postreply 07:19:51

• From now on, you'd better expect the unexpected. -renqiulan- ♂ 给 renqiulan 发送悄悄话 renqiulan 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/19/2023 postreply 07:20:54

• You know, you're one of my favorite interlocutors. -shuier- ♀ 给 shuier 发送悄悄话 shuier 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/19/2023 postreply 07:23:55

• Same here. Working from home? -renqiulan- ♂ 给 renqiulan 发送悄悄话 renqiulan 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/19/2023 postreply 07:24:44

• Fortunately, yes. I'll be right back. -shuier- ♀ 给 shuier 发送悄悄话 shuier 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/19/2023 postreply 07:25:47

• Take your time. -renqiulan- ♂ 给 renqiulan 发送悄悄话 renqiulan 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/19/2023 postreply 07:26:38

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