流传病学家预计了可能感染人数会达到100,000 摘转一个业界大牛的一段话

来源: 2020-01-30 12:05:54 [] [博客] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读: 次 (852 bytes)
本文内容已被 [ 山丘- ] 在 2020-01-31 09:09:24 编辑过。如有问题,请报告版主或论坛管理删除.
回答: 我觉得现在应该有大约二十万人感染钱百万2020-01-30 11:18:03

Flu causes 300,000-600,000 deaths per year worldwide (yes those are huge numbers), most of which could be avoided from a simple hygiene perspective. The direct hospitalization costs for flu in the US are 10B per year; 24M people in the US get the flu each season with 12,000 deaths. Older individuals are particularly susceptible but deaths span all age ranges. The numbers for coronavirus are still up in the air but the incidence has exploded over the past few days. One epidemiologist in the UK speculated a few days ago that there could be 100,000 cases. The mortality rate is very uncertain because the caseload is unknown but the new virus is easily on track to exceed the total number of deaths from SARS in 2003. ,, there are claims that pre-symptomatic patients can transmit the disease but much of this is still speculation.

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