Put/Call ratio 表明目前市场牛气指数过高

本帖于 2026-05-12 02:19:49 时间, 由普通用户 richardman 编辑

从4月份以来QQQ涨了16%,跌一点正常。如果其它经济指标变差,也许有个更大的回调。

 

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As of May 11, 2026, the CBOE Equity Put/Call Ratio is 0.53, indicating a generally bullish sentiment among investors. A lower ratio (typically below 0.7) means fewer puts are traded relative to calls, signaling market optimism. 

Key Sentiment Indicators (May 8-11, 2026):

  • Equity Put/Call Ratio: 0.53.
  • Total Put/Call Ratio (CBOE): 0.81 (10-day moving average).
  • S&P 500 Index ($SPX) Put/Call Ratio: 1.14 (suggesting hedging activity). 

What the Numbers Mean:

  • < 0.7: Generally indicates bullish sentiment.
  • > 1.0: Generally indicates bearish sentiment or high hedging activity. 

The 21-day moving average for the equity ratio is 0.59. High put/call ratios often indicate excessive fear, which can suggest a market rebound, while very low ratios may indicate market euphoria, potentially signalling a pullback. 

 

'I he 'aho 11 'o ??Me, 2026, 'Oku 0.53 'a e CBOE 'Ekitiviti Put/Call Ratio, 'o fakahaa'i ai ha ongo fakalukufua 'o e 'inivesitoa 'i he lotolotonga 'o e kau 'inivesitoa. Ko ha ratio ma'ulalo ange ('oku angamaheni 'aki 'i lalo 'i he 0.7) 'oku 'uhinga ia 'oku si'isi'i ange 'a e ngaahi puts 'oku fefakatau'aki 'o fakatatau ki he ngaahi ui, signaling 'a e 'amanaki lelei 'o e maketi. 

Ngaahi Faka?ilonga Tefito ?o e Ongo?í (Mē 8-11, 2026):

* 'Ekitiviti Tuku/Ui 'a e Ratio: 0.53.

* Fakakatoa 'o e 'ai/Ui 'o e 'uhinga (CBOE): 0.81 ('avalisi 'o e 'aho 'e 10 'oku nga'unu).

* S&P 500 Index ($SPX) Tuku/Ui 'a e 'uhinga: 1.14 (fokotu'u 'a e ngaue 'o e malu'i). 

Ko e ?Uhinga ?o e Ngaahi Fiká:

* < 0.7: 'Oku fakahaa'i fakalukufua 'a e ongo'i 'o e bullish.

* > 1.0: 'Oku fakahaa'i fakalukufua 'a e ongo'i bearish pe 'ekitiviti hedging ma'olunga. 

Ko e 'avalisi 'o e 'aho 'e 21 ki he 'ekitiviti 'oku 0.59. 'Oku fa'a fakahaa'i 'e he ngaahi 'inasi ma'olunga 'o e tuku/ui 'a e manavasi'i lahi, 'a ia 'e lava ke ne fokotu'u mai ha maketi rebound, lolotonga ia 'e lava ke fakahaa'i 'e he ngaahi 'inasi ma'ulalo 'aupito 'a e euphoria 'o e maketi, 'e malava ke faka'ilonga'i ha pullback.

 

 

截至2026年5月11日,CBOE股票看跌/看涨期权比率为0.53,这表明投资者整体情绪偏向看涨。较低的比率(通常低于0.7)意味着相对于看涨期权而言,看跌期权的交易量较少,这预示着市场情绪较为乐观。

关键情绪指标(2026年5月8日至11日):

* 股票看跌/看涨期权比率:0.53。

* 总体看跌/看涨期权比率(CBOE):0.81(10日移动平均值)。

* 标普500指数($SPX)看跌/看涨期权比率:1.14(表明存在对冲活动)。

数据解读:

* < 0.7:通常表明市场情绪看涨。

* > 1.0:通常表明市场情绪看跌,或存在大量的对冲活动。

该股票比率的21日移动平均值为0.59。较高的看跌/看涨期权比率往往预示着市场存在过度恐慌情绪,这可能暗示市场即将反弹;而极低的比率则可能表明市场情绪过于亢奋(即“狂热”),这或许预示着市场即将迎来回调。

 

 

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