利多:negative sentiment, not that many topping signs (there are indeed some worrying signs), defensive stocks still lag behind, very likely 2 25BPS rate cuts + stop of QT
利空:spx is not cheap at current level, AI could be a bubble, highly speculative stocks are flying again.
对多方来讲现在应该慢慢从TECH转到defensives, 最后这些defensives一定会有一冲的。
对空方来讲现在就是紧咬住TECH不放,当然要做好继续被挤压的准备。
Both sides need patience, both sides have chance to win, short term end result could be both sides make money.