Can sp500 have two -20% draw down in 1 calender yr?

DId sp500 had two -20% draw down in one calender year?

Is this statistical significant?

It still a risk, but i guess it is a tail risk, at least very low probability. 

Even if it happened, it must driven by some other tail risk. 

I will keep eye on it, but would not bet on it.

 

Of course, the market will continue to be volatile, and there will be down days, and might be big down days. 

 

所有跟帖： 

• Anything can happen, only difference is possibility. -Pilot007- ♂ (0 bytes) () 05/11/2025 postreply 17:36:43

• 可能的，而且概率不小。这次spy/qqq不到一个月涨了23%，合理吗 -newbiestock- ♂ (62 bytes) () 05/11/2025 postreply 18:06:30

• will be aware of the risk -未知就是风险- ♂ (0 bytes) () 05/11/2025 postreply 18:21:27