I think we can see sharp sell-off in tech stocks very soon

本帖于 2024-12-13 15:31:01 时间, 由普通用户 芳华万里 编辑

It is still all about the AI hype - all companies want to get in on the AI pie, so AMZN is producing AI chips, GOOG is producing Quantum chips, AVGO will win big in XPU, market just blindedly accepted the story and reponded positively, and they bailed out on the true AI king NVDA. In the  past 5 days but all sectors except XLY and XLC (becuse inclusion of amzn/tsla/goog/avgo etc.) are in red, even XLK is  red.

At the market close today ADLINE for $NDX also confirmatively and negatively diverged with $NDX following $RUT, $NYA, $SPX, $SPXEW. 

I have seen similar setup several times before big sell-off, $NDX is dangeriously high-valued now,  they are the most vulnerable, stay away from them.  Should big sell-off happens, I see a buy in current oversold value stocks (particularly in the healthcare sector)

 

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芳华,猜顶是大忌。 -剑客行- 给 剑客行 发送悄悄话 剑客行 的博客首页 (167 bytes) () 12/13/2024 postreply 15:32:05

所有的人都告诉你要顺势不要猜顶猜底,我就是专门猜顶猜底的。 -芳华万里- 给 芳华万里 发送悄悄话 (171 bytes) () 12/13/2024 postreply 15:38:29

你又全卖光了?就是喜欢你雷厉风行的模样,哈哈哈 -Hightides- 给 Hightides 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/13/2024 postreply 15:43:53

虎哥喜欢就好~~~除了三倍反指我还有一些被卖得很厉害的价值股和很多BOND,但最终是要把美股卖光 -芳华万里- 给 芳华万里 发送悄悄话 (49 bytes) () 12/13/2024 postreply 15:55:46

破闹钟一天还对两次了:) -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/13/2024 postreply 15:57:34

哈哈,3哥总是一箭中的 -老生长谈- 给 老生长谈 发送悄悄话 (167 bytes) () 12/13/2024 postreply 16:24:50

万里同学抄股不在手钱,为了理想呵呵 -Hightides- 给 Hightides 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/13/2024 postreply 16:27:09

不断喊顶, 总有一天会对的。 不断用无限资金做空,总有一天会出水的:) -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 (1118 bytes) () 12/13/2024 postreply 16:37:40

万里同学还在天天努力上班挣钱交党费,不能象你一样,小岛会美女的干活,呵呵 -Hightides- 给 Hightides 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/13/2024 postreply 16:39:49

但是万里同学层次高,追求的是精神上自由,你是肉体的自由,呵呵 -Hightides- 给 Hightides 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/13/2024 postreply 16:54:45

这里死皮大幅反弹的可能性不低,最近除了大科技股其他板块被卖的太厉害了,稍微涨涨死皮就过6100了 -芳华万里- 给 芳华万里 发送悄悄话 (90 bytes) () 12/13/2024 postreply 15:35:49

到底去不去46K了,现在要去,那就得先涨5%再跌,差别大了去了 -nobo- 给 nobo 发送悄悄话 (195 bytes) () 12/13/2024 postreply 16:36:15

神仙才能告诉你。别人的观点应该是仅供参考,要根据判断布局自己的仓位,这里用自己的仓位解释一下 -芳华万里- 给 芳华万里 发送悄悄话 (749 bytes) () 12/13/2024 postreply 16:59:15

高手,基本neutral的仓位 -nobo- 给 nobo 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/13/2024 postreply 18:05:16

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