what happen to day to A shares and China ADRs

本帖于 2024-10-07 13:31:30 时间, 由普通用户 未知就是风险 编辑

First, any investment has its own risk, there is no free (risk  free)  lunch. some volatility is inevitable. 

Second I guess, today partially is short squeez. Before, the annuancement of first around of stimulus, a lot of hedge funds, and long only managers were shorting or underweighting Chinese stocks--A Shares and/or ADRs.  As of last friday, a lot of them are not yet close their short or under exposure to Chinese market.  Some of them thought the announced stimulus were not enought to turn Chinese economy round. They were waiting holiday data, and new announcement. Bang! here comes the data mid day today.

third.  Holiday news.

          a. Beijing houseing market were hot

          b.  深圳 housing market were hot

          c. 美团发布的“十一”黄金周消费数据显示,全国生活服务到店消费同比增长41.2% 其中,游客日均消费较上年假期增长69.6%

           The rebound of housing market in  some first tier cities, and increase of travel spending can not entirely attributed to reboud of stock market. In my view, it is because peopel become more postitive about the future about economy, about their future earnings, abouth their jobs, and very imporantly  , about the market. Consumers behavor so far tells us, China can tell the economy around with right medicine, and never under estimate Chinese consumers animal spirit, which is the driving force of prosperious. 

           I guess, the short sellers were paniced. Look at todays Ashr volume. The z-score of the volume is shooting the moon, whether you look at 1 year, 5 year, or the entire history available on Yahoo finance. 

           I would guess still a lot of short sellers and underweighers are still scratching their head or pulling their hairs.

          d. individual are rushing to open brokerage accounts, and institution were working around the clock to help them . 

          e. Do not contribute last weekes market phenomenial to chinese gambling habit( 赌性). It was driven by US investors here. 

           Again, this is not a trade recommendation. 

 

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whatever, let the party begin !!! -moneytalks- 给 moneytalks 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 10/07/2024 postreply 13:44:12

我父母在上海的老房子十月二号签约了销售合同,政策和利率效果明显。 -Lucky2022- 给 Lucky2022 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 10/07/2024 postreply 13:49:40

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