Your info about Index appreciation is wrong

来源: Nerazzurri 2023-10-31 12:04:30 [] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读: 次 (4210 bytes)
本文内容已被 [ Nerazzurri ] 在 2023-10-31 12:42:16 编辑过。如有问题,请报告版主或论坛管理删除.

Rental properties have many advantages, such as:

  • Inflation-proof asset, slow but steady positive appreciation;
  • Eligible for 1031 exchange, deferred capital gain payment;
  • Refinance opportunities to minimize interest-related risks;
  • Mortgage interest eligible for tax deduction;
  • Property appreciation can be utilized for HELOC to take advantage of potential great investment opportunities;
  • Rental payment is superior to covered call premiums without assets being called away;
  • Gift rental properties to next generation without paying capital gain tax until sale of the properties, providing immediate cash flow for the children;
  • And much more;

BTW, you present index appreciation incorrectly; Here is my calculation for various index CAGR (compound annual growth rate)

  • DJI since 1970, CAGR is 7.12% as of today;
  • SPX since 1970, CAGR is 7.31% as of today;
  • IXIC since inception on 6/1/1973, CAGR is 10.03% as of today;
  • NDX (Nasdaq-100) since inception on 1/31/1985, CAGR is 12.99% as of today;
  • SPY (SP500) since inception on 1/29/1993, CAGR is 7.58% as of today;
  • QQQ (Nasdaq-100) since inception on 3/10/1999, CAGR is 8.08% as of today;

Based on my calculation, your info about 标普500指数过去50年的平均年化收益率是11%。而自1986年成立以来,纳斯达克100指数的平均年化收益率是17% is terribly wrong. If the baseline is correct, investment on rental property (10% CAGR) beats SP500 (aroung 7.5%) soundly;

所有跟帖: 

你是不是把通胀因素给扣除了?标普500指数7.3%的收益率,不符合史实。 -硅谷居士- 给 硅谷居士 发送悄悄话 硅谷居士 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 10/31/2023 postreply 12:10:36

历史事实就是SP500公认的收益率是7%;这也是4%rule的理论基础。 -Nerazzurri- 给 Nerazzurri 发送悄悄话 (365 bytes) () 10/31/2023 postreply 12:28:17

4%后面对应的是Balanced Portfolio, 大致一半是股票基金,一半是债券基金,综合回报率7%。 -硅谷居士- 给 硅谷居士 发送悄悄话 硅谷居士 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 10/31/2023 postreply 13:30:59

https://dqydj.com/sp-500-return-calculator/ -硅谷居士- 给 硅谷居士 发送悄悄话 硅谷居士 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 10/31/2023 postreply 12:11:57

你需要考率Reinvest分红 -硅谷居士- 给 硅谷居士 发送悄悄话 硅谷居士 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 10/31/2023 postreply 12:13:00

All things considered, divedend re-investment -Nerazzurri- 给 Nerazzurri 发送悄悄话 (246 bytes) () 10/31/2023 postreply 12:29:39

我不清楚你哪里搞错了。你可以用上面的权威网站算一下。 -硅谷居士- 给 硅谷居士 发送悄悄话 硅谷居士 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 10/31/2023 postreply 12:33:00

那个网站我很久之前就用了。when compare things, -Nerazzurri- 给 Nerazzurri 发送悄悄话 (138 bytes) () 10/31/2023 postreply 12:39:24

所有对股票基金的权威分析都是包括Dividend Reinvestment的。你可以另辟蹊径,如果你能说服别人的话。 -硅谷居士- 给 硅谷居士 发送悄悄话 硅谷居士 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 10/31/2023 postreply 13:28:22

而且你要考虑到rental property is inflation-proof asset -Nerazzurri- 给 Nerazzurri 发送悄悄话 (247 bytes) () 10/31/2023 postreply 12:36:48

股票后面对应的是公司,也抗通胀的。 -硅谷居士- 给 硅谷居士 发送悄悄话 硅谷居士 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 10/31/2023 postreply 13:17:00

你可以给一个权威的投资房的年化回报率吗?反驳别人,需要拿数据说话。 -硅谷居士- 给 硅谷居士 发送悄悄话 硅谷居士 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 10/31/2023 postreply 13:21:00

我不再继续和你讨论了。我觉得你没有搞清楚基本的事实,这样的讨论是毫无意义的。 -硅谷居士- 给 硅谷居士 发送悄悄话 硅谷居士 的博客首页 (81 bytes) () 10/31/2023 postreply 13:32:44

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