电车起火的概率远远低于油车

来源: dividend_growth 2023-09-23 16:48:25 [] [博客] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读: 次 (10617 bytes)

https://thedriven.io/2023/09/20/electric-vehicle-fires-are-rare-risk-for-petrol-and-diesel-vehicles-at-least-20-times-higher/

 

How common are these fires?

 

Australian firm EV FireSafe tracks passenger electric vehicle battery fires worldwide. From 2010 to June 2023, its database records only 393 verified fires globally, out of some 30 million electric vehicles on the road.

Australia recorded only four electric vehicle battery fires over the same period. One was linked to arson. The other three vehicles were parked in structures that burned down and destroyed the vehicles. So it appears these fires didn’t start in the batteries.

 

But electric vehicle numbers in Australia were low during this 13-year period.

 

Are the risks higher than for petrol or diesel cars?

As electric vehicle numbers grow, this week’s reports might lead some people to fear fire risks will increase. However, data for the past 13 years suggest quite the opposite is true as electric vehicles replace petrol and diesel vehicles.

 

May 2023 report by the Swedish Civil Contingencies Agency found vehicles powered by internal combustion engines were 20 times more likely to catch fire than electric vehicles in Sweden.

Sweden recorded 106 fires in various electrified modes of transport in 2022. More than half were in e-scooters (38) and e-bikes (20). Out of Sweden’s 611,000 electric vehicles, 23 fires (0.004%) were reported. The fleet of 4.4 million petrol and diesel vehicles recorded 3,400 fires (0.08%).

 

Globally, EV FireSafe found about 0.0012% of electric passenger vehicles caught fire from 2010 to 2023. While it was difficult to find similar global statistics for petrol and diesel vehicles, EV Firesafe used a range of country reports and found a much higher 0.1% risk of catching fire. That’s more than 80 times the rate EV Firesafe found for electric vehicles.

 

As well as 393 verified fires worldwide, the EV Firesafe database includes 74 incidents that are being investigated and 21 that have not been verified.

 

A 2020 Tesla internal report (not verified independently) suggested there was one Tesla fire for every 205 million miles (330 million kilometres) travelled. The Tesla report notes National Fire Protection Association data for the United States showed a much higher rate of one fire for every 19 million miles (30.6 million kilometres).

We still have limited data on fire risk in electric vehicles, most of which are relatively new. More statistically reliable comparisons require more data over much longer time frames.

 

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电车技术改进的速度远远高于油车,所以,电车相对油车的安全性也会越来越好

 

最简单的一个道理,就是你前面没有发动机那个大铁块,你活命的概率就已增加了很多!

 

所有跟帖: 

我孩子也是这么认为,他已经买了两辆电车,现在这里油价6刀多,他在晚上电便宜时冲电,省钱。 -yhr- 给 yhr 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 09/23/2023 postreply 16:55:23

2018年俺买特斯拉前,对这个电车是否容易起火做了很详细的研究, -dividend_growth- 给 dividend_growth 发送悄悄话 dividend_growth 的博客首页 (357 bytes) () 09/23/2023 postreply 17:09:57

特斯拉的问题是一撞就Total -大铁牛- 给 大铁牛 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 09/23/2023 postreply 17:32:33

引导,被动地买自动驾驶,或者防撞软件。翼龙自己的保险公司肯定要覆盖“全修”,费用也不会太高。 -太宇- 给 太宇 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 09/24/2023 postreply 07:24:18

对,都没车行能修,他的配套措施还不完善,有钱人可能不在乎,但卖车不能只考虑有钱人 -testmobile- 给 testmobile 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 09/24/2023 postreply 10:18:18

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