The Stock Market Has Predicted 9 Of The Past 5 Recessions

https://www.forbes.com/sites/briandomitrovic/2018/11/22/the-stock-market-has-predicted-nine-of-the-past-five-recessions/?sh=dc9c8d53d740

 

 

 

所有跟帖： 

• 预测正确的概率大概是50% -艾依然- ♀ (0 bytes) () 04/15/2022 postreply 11:53:39

• 意思是股市常常反应过度，有recession股市大掉，没recession股市也可能大掉。 -BeLe- ♀ (0 bytes) () 04/15/2022 postreply 12:48:06

• 下面硅谷的鱼解释的也很清楚：“股市是预估的反应；当认为肯定有recession时下跌；” -艾依然- ♀ (0 bytes) () 04/15/2022 postreply 13:14:07