"欧债危机喊了一年多,到头来EURvsUSD YTD居然还是正值。这暗示着欧元还未跌透,或美元尚未充分发力"
There is a general empirical rule about markets: when stocks or markets refuse to drop on bad news, what's the inference? there are no more declines, the bear market has run its course.
Will this general rule not apply to currencies?
Try a little contrarian thinking I suggest.