我的看法不大一样，，，

来源: hercules007 于 2011-11-02 01:33:47 [档案] [博客] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读：次 (1192 bytes)

本文内容已被 [ hercules007 ] 在 2011-11-02 04:29:52 编辑过。如有问题，请报告版主或论坛管理删除.

回答: QE3&欧债由捣乱者于 2011-11-02 01:15:03

欧债会继续折腾下去，扰的市场心烦意乱不知所终。但是QE3 是一定要来的，不为别的，为防止更大的类似 MF Global 的出现。还有，美国财政部计划今后6个月发行USD$846 billion 债券，恐怕只有联储的QE3能吃的下。

欧债虽然折腾人，但不致命。要是欧债过去了，就该折腾美债了，那才是正真的系统终结者。

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today announced its current estimates of net marketable borrowing for the October – December 2011 and the January - March 2012 quarters:

During the October – December 2011 quarter, Treasury expects to issue $305 billion in net marketable debt, assuming an end-of-December cash balance of $60 billion. This borrowing estimate is $21 billion higher than announced in July 2011. The increase in borrowing relates to lower receipts, higher outlays, and changes in the cash balance assumptions partially offset by higher net issuances of State and Local Government Series securities.

During the January - March 2012 quarter, Treasury expects to issue $541 billion in net marketable debt, assuming an end-of-March cash balance of $60 billion.

也就是说，全年财政缺口超过 USD$1.6 trillion.