Hi TCT, what I did was the following steps (repeating over and over): 1. brainstorming an idea (i.e., a system), 2. programming that system, 3. back-testing the system against history data, 4. optimizing parameters if step#3 looked OK, 5. examining the testing report to fix the system, and 6. archiving or throwing away. Sometimes a simple idea took a lot of time to write. Testing was easier because computer could run 24x7, but some complex systems took many days to get a report.
Your brilliant idea of changing parameters dynamically is very good, which I never thought about. Maybe it could be the key to resolve the puzzle. Also I would suggeset you go with a similar route - the artificial neural network approach, which I never tried.
Thanks for your kind words. About experience, I don't care to tell people and myself if I am defeated. Yes, I have lots of experience of losing money. After so many years of trading of almost anything, the market has taught me one thing - the market is always right. About trading rules, yes and no. Now the only rule I keep in mind is rick control.
Yes, I am a pure TA guy. Disregarding I used to write FA daily market comments, I believe only TA. When I was writing FA stories, I had two boxes - one was good FA/news and the other one bad stuff. I picked whatever good or bad I want to write to give readers a reason. Whatelse could I do? That's how the financial market is/was, and that's what those naive FA believers wanted. My trading is solely based on TA because this is a money game (or killing game) - bulls want to slaughter bears while bears want to kill bulls too.
Good Luck on Trading!
[CIC] Your Brilliant Idea
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回复:[CIC] Your Brilliant Idea
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10/18/2009 postreply
08:47:46