中国制造军舰的速度在过去两年半急剧下降,不知为什么 …

我問ChatGPT:

Do you have the tonnage of Chinese navy commissioned in the last few years? My impression is that Chinese navy have not commissioned many ships in the last two years in terms of tonnage. Just don’t know if my impression is true 


ChatGPT回答:
 

Your impression is largely accurate: the People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) has experienced a slowdown in commissioning large-tonnage warships over the past two years compared to its peak shipbuilding years.

 

 

Decline in Commissioned Tonnage

 

 

  • 2022: The PLAN commissioned several major vessels, including:
    • 1 Type 075 amphibious assault ship (~40,000 tons)
    • 3 Type 055 destroyers (~12,000 tons each)
    • 4 Type 052D destroyers (~7,000 tons each)
    • 1 Type 054A frigate (~4,000 tons)
      This amounted to an estimated total of approximately 120,000 tons for the year.  
  •  
  • 2023–2024: There was a noticeable reduction in the commissioning of large-tonnage warships. While exact figures are not publicly disclosed, available information suggests a focus on smaller vessels and support ships during this period.
  • 2025: The PLAN commissioned two Type 054B frigates, each with an estimated displacement of 5,500–6,000 tons:
    • Luohe (commissioned January 2025)
    • Qinzhou (commissioned April 2025)
      These additions reflect a continued, albeit more modest, expansion of the fleet.  
  •  

 

 

 

? Factors Contributing to the Slowdown

 

 

Several factors may have contributed to this deceleration:

 

  • Strategic Shift: A possible transition from rapid expansion to consolidation, focusing on integrating and optimizing existing assets.
  • Resource Allocation: Reallocation of resources towards other military domains or economic sectors may have impacted naval shipbuilding.
  • Industrial Capacity: Shipyard capacities might have been directed towards maintenance, upgrades, or commercial shipbuilding projects. 

 

 

 

Conclusion

 

 

While the PLAN continues to grow and modernize, the pace of commissioning large-tonnage warships has slowed in the past two years compared to earlier periods. This trend suggests a strategic recalibration, focusing on enhancing existing capabilities and integrating new technologies rather than sheer numerical expansion.

 

所有跟帖: 

居然没提,钱都拿去修雄安这个园子了。 -weijiashan- 给 weijiashan 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 07:13:04

在商業化的世界,AI也不例外。爲了獲得更多人使用,AI回答問題有一個技術預設,叫complying, -Penuium- 给 Penuium 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 07:21:19

就是會盡量順著使用者的意願搜尋答案,這讓AI的可信度大打折扣。所以問AI問題的時候要巧妙點,千萬不要先暴露任何個人立場。 -Penuium- 给 Penuium 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 07:22:28

不用教的,探春调教AI最有经验了。 -监考老师- 给 监考老师 发送悄悄话 监考老师 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 08:08:14

中国海军2024年下水14艘军舰,总排水量合计96800吨! -cn_abcd- 给 cn_abcd 发送悄悄话 cn_abcd 的博客首页 (199 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 07:22:52

052Dx3+055x1+054Ax3+076x1 -cn_abcd- 给 cn_abcd 发送悄悄话 cn_abcd 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 07:24:50

2025还要下水:052Dx3+055x2 -cn_abcd- 给 cn_abcd 发送悄悄话 cn_abcd 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 07:38:57

军舰要commissioned了才算建造完成,造船壳容易,fitting out里面的作战系统才是难事。 -大观园的贾探春- 给 大观园的贾探春 发送悄悄话 大观园的贾探春 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 08:28:07

这是逻辑不行还是中文不行? -cn_abcd- 给 cn_abcd 发送悄悄话 cn_abcd 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 08:43:49

一是中国军舰基本够用,二是有新型大杀器即将出来 -21-C- 给 21-C 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 07:34:05

中国在继续造军舰.我真正好奇的海军哪儿来这么多军官,士官的 -cn_abcd- 给 cn_abcd 发送悄悄话 cn_abcd 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 07:35:56

所以大量培养高质量的海军人才比造舰更重要。 -Uusequery- 给 Uusequery 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 07:39:26

1. 钱比较紧, 2. 快饱和了。舰只总数超过美国,又不是全球海军,都堆在家门口 -Uusequery- 给 Uusequery 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 07:37:49

道理很简单因为明白了造的再多也是活棺材而已 -rmny- 给 rmny 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 07:48:31

会跑路的航母才是好军舰 -cn_abcd- 给 cn_abcd 发送悄悄话 cn_abcd 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 07:55:00

换个问法:Did china commission more ships in the last two years? -voiceofme- 给 voiceofme 发送悄悄话 voiceofme 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 08:33:45

多造军舰是为了打仗时让敌人怎么打都打不完。现在不打仗,保养费却是天价。这与南海造岛一样,决策低劣 -老财主说两句- 给 老财主说两句 发送悄悄话 老财主说两句 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 08:42:21

二战时日本决定打珍珠港有部分原因类似 -老财主说两句- 给 老财主说两句 发送悄悄话 老财主说两句 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/26/2025 postreply 08:44:18

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