世界范围起主导的“liberal democracy”是一个在各自国家有民主自由并对权力有牵制的系统。但是，当这个系统在总体上由美国一国主导，对手消失后（苏联），这个整体的世界体系就没有了对权力的牵制。一旦出现此刻这种“历史上最厉害，没有唯一”的个体，就让小“liberal democracy”而大则不“liberal democracy”的矛盾暴露无遗。总体上说，无论是对美国国内还是国际事务，川普同学是一剂强力疫苗，非精制而最粗糙的早期天花疫苗那种，*_*。确实是should erect a golden monument in his honor，^_^。
Carney的演讲没看，不过这有一个 David French 的文章，Opinion | The Carney Doctrine - The New York Times
其中说到：
First, Carney spoke the plain truth. “For decades,” Carney said, “countries like Canada prospered under what we called the rules-based international order. We joined its institutions, we praised its principles, we benefited from its predictability. And because of that, we could pursue values-based foreign policies under its protection.”
But, Carney said, this order was always “partially false.” We knew “that the strongest would exempt themselves when convenient. That trade rules were enforced asymmetrically. And we knew that international law applied with varying rigor depending on the identity of the accused or the victim.”
Even an imperfect system had profound benefits — as long as America remained both strong and virtuous. “American hegemony, in particular,” he said, “helped provide public goods: open sea lanes, a stable financial system, collective security and support for frameworks for resolving disputes.”
That all appears to be over. We’re not in a state of transition, but rather one of “rupture.” That’s Carney’s word for it, and he’s right.
This declaration might seem bracing and perhaps even premature. The system is under strain, yes. But ruptured? Really? We could be mere months away from a decisive repudiation of Trump and Trumpism in the midterms. Shouldn’t that reassure our allies? Besides, doesn’t Trump backtrack all the time? Didn’t he just turn down the temperature over Greenland?
But consider the reality from an allied perspective. They now know that there is considerable appetite in the American population for at least some form of Trumpism. They know that one of the two American parties is firmly in the hands of people — including Vice President JD Vance — who may even be more hostile to NATO than Trump himself. They’ve watched as former Trump opponents, men like Marco Rubio, have been assimilated into the MAGA machine.
As long as that is true, that means the Western alliance will always be precarious. You cannot build an enduring economic order or a stable defense strategy when chaos and confusion are always one election away. It turns out that the much-maligned “postwar consensus” provided many benefits to America and the world.
2026，变化年，^_^。
古纸兄周末愉快。
