BTW,just some historical data

In the history of SPX future (ES) since 2000, it has never had a gap down for more than 0.5% on daily basis, with only "one" exception

That expcetion was 9/11/2001, when market reopens after 9/11 attack, ES gapped down for about 1%.

So far, the gap down on ES is 0.76%, so we either will close most of this gap tonight, or making a new history tomorrow:)

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我记得去年4月就有gap down around 5% -QQQ2074- 给 QQQ2074 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/12/2026 postreply 17:08:18

Your memory is wrong -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 04/12/2026 postreply 17:08:46

可能的。而且我也不太清楚那个futures trading hours. -QQQ2074- 给 QQQ2074 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/12/2026 postreply 17:09:45

去年 SPX cash 有很大的gap down, 但是future 没有 -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 04/12/2026 postreply 17:11:54

应该是的。QQQ开盘了, 604 -QQQ2074- 给 QQQ2074 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/12/2026 postreply 17:14:12

1% down already -券海拾贝- 给 券海拾贝 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/12/2026 postreply 17:33:53

LOL, gap already shrank to 0.56% -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 04/12/2026 postreply 18:28:49

没准花街都见怪不怪了。早已预料到这个结果了。 -券海拾贝- 给 券海拾贝 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/12/2026 postreply 18:39:18

这个不对,除非这个GAP DOWN和DAILY BASIS 有很奇怪定义 -bond_007- 给 bond_007 发送悄悄话 (409 bytes) () 04/12/2026 postreply 20:02:17

gap 这么简单的concept 有什么可辩论的。 -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 04/12/2026 postreply 20:06:03

的确没啥好说也没啥指导意义 -bond_007- 给 bond_007 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/12/2026 postreply 20:08:40

GAP和trade down 是完全不同的概念。有什么意义?在ES 开盘跌过1%的情况下,99%的概率是会反弹到0。5% -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 04/12/2026 postreply 20:15:55

对去trade ES future 的交易员,就是25点的涨幅 -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 04/12/2026 postreply 20:16:56

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