The trend already looks broken,

and the next logical move is a pullback toward the 200-day, exactly the kind of reset we've seen in other hyperscalers with heavy capex (MSFT, AMZN, META). Google has been the last holdout, but it doesn't stay insulated forever.

Right now the market is in punish the big spenders mode. Investors are discounting future cash flows more aggressively and treating sustained, elevated capex as a potential drag (less near-term free cash flow, more uncertainty on payback timing, and a higher bar to justify continued spending). In that setup, even great companies can get de-rated until price and expectations reconnect.

 
 

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I'll ignore all these and buy big if it gets below 280 :) -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 02/11/2026 postreply 10:11:56

今年太难做了。 我前几天抄底软件公司今天就水下了,lol. 你对软件公司怎么看? -aloevera- 给 aloevera 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/11/2026 postreply 10:18:01

Stay away until we see clear bottom signal -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 02/11/2026 postreply 10:35:56

I saw IGV rally up with huge volume, thought it was the -aloevera- 给 aloevera 发送悄悄话 (34 bytes) () 02/11/2026 postreply 10:38:26

2022年,很多Tech stocks down 80% :) -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 02/11/2026 postreply 10:36:48

那我是不是要今天止损,买了RDDT和一点点APP, 是错杀股,长线看是好的。 -aloevera- 给 aloevera 发送悄悄话 (94 bytes) () 02/11/2026 postreply 10:42:08

I dont know. I am staying sideline on all SW for now -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 02/11/2026 postreply 10:51:52

Once bottom confirmed, still plenty of space to make profit -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 02/11/2026 postreply 10:52:20

Make sense. 这两个股票都是腰斩,所以想捡便宜。如果收盘跌破前几天低点我就先卖一半吧。 -aloevera- 给 aloevera 发送悄悄话 (43 bytes) () 02/11/2026 postreply 10:56:30

I mean all traditional SaaS software companies -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 02/11/2026 postreply 10:54:31

These two are not traditional Saas companies. APP actually -aloevera- 给 aloevera 发送悄悄话 (231 bytes) () 02/11/2026 postreply 11:00:02

I know, i am just saying I will stay out of SaaS -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 02/11/2026 postreply 11:09:09

APP确实是IGV的大持仓,可能机构做空IGV,APP就必须被卖了。 -aloevera- 给 aloevera 发送悄悄话 (396 bytes) () 02/11/2026 postreply 11:21:55

APP我认为是错杀,前几天370,380是个好坑;RDDT要赚钱太难了,平台属性和META不一样,我是避开;一家之言啦 -dancingpig- 给 dancingpig 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/11/2026 postreply 11:40:17

APP 我只做了一个短线390:410 call, 赚了2x, 要是做390:440call 可以4x :( -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 02/11/2026 postreply 11:48:21

嗯,370-380那个时候capital watch撤销犯罪集团指控的消息还没出来,不敢买。出来后去买了点,确实是错杀。 -aloevera- 给 aloevera 发送悄悄话 (237 bytes) () 02/11/2026 postreply 11:50:28

RDDT 报表很好。公司成长还是很快,虽然有放慢节奏。他们广告很便宜,但是渗透率不高,还没有利用AI提高广告效率。 -aloevera- 给 aloevera 发送悄悄话 (136 bytes) () 02/11/2026 postreply 15:43:42

I will wait for 250. If market corrects, it will go there. -aloevera- 给 aloevera 发送悄悄话 (42 bytes) () 02/11/2026 postreply 10:15:17

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