Today, DOW is about to close at all time high

It has tried several times over last several weeks to do so.

If DOW is able to stay here and close at all time high today, the worst case scenario for SPX (ie, dropping below 6500) can be put on the lowest probability.

Sometimes, DOW could pull back after a new ATH, and that could pull SPX backwards next 1 to 2 weeks. That would be the bottom to go in and buy aggressively. But if DOW keeps going higher next week and push SPX up with it, well, we will continue to see grinding pattern as what we have seen over last few weeks

所有跟帖: 

谢谢三心及时总结,提醒,update我们股市状态 -Blueview2026- 给 Blueview2026 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2026 postreply 09:21:27

思路清晰,指明方向,多谢! -雪杨飘飘- 给 雪杨飘飘 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2026 postreply 09:22:07

so luck to have you as our lighthouse at this club -Mydaughters- 给 Mydaughters 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2026 postreply 09:26:06

+100 -小松松- 给 小松松 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2026 postreply 10:02:50

今天盘前SPY在关键点位670 (670.89)拉起 -bogbog- 给 bogbog 发送悄悄话 bogbog 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2026 postreply 09:26:20

本来以为今天早盘会再去确认一下这个点位,没想到一路北上了。 -小松松- 给 小松松 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2026 postreply 10:03:59

哇,谢谢三心哥,今天早上正在加仓和减持中反复横跳 -10miDream- 给 10miDream 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2026 postreply 09:46:37

请教三心老师,夜盘回测的6720 (6700) 大概率有可能回重新确认吗?夜盘毕竟是有限的资金和机构在操作啊 -小松松- 给 小松松 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2026 postreply 10:05:42

这个问题在昨晚帖里的#1已经解释了 -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2026 postreply 10:32:35

是的是的,解释得很清楚了 -小松松- 给 小松松 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2026 postreply 10:50:15

Wow, DOW is up 1000 pts now .... -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (219 bytes) () 02/06/2026 postreply 10:51:51

一下子拉得太猛不是好事,最好横盘消化一下。 -小松松- 给 小松松 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2026 postreply 10:59:31

这能说明反弹很强势了么? -10miDream- 给 10miDream 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2026 postreply 12:09:52

因为DOW的拉升, 把情况搞复杂了 (30个股票间接的造成标普的高位收盘) -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2026 postreply 13:25:14

不过我们现在至少可以把worst case 放一边了 -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2026 postreply 13:26:12

这也是好事,至少前路明朗了一点 -10miDream- 给 10miDream 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2026 postreply 13:40:10

谢谢分享。 这几天都跌得胆战心惊。 想割肉又不舍得。 -musicfuture123- 给 musicfuture123 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2026 postreply 13:25:03

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