About today's action

来源: 三心三意 于 2026-02-03 12:18:42 [] [博客] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 阅读数 : (563 bytes)

First of all, I have no idea if correction on index has started, because SPX is still above 1/20 low. 

However, the structure of today's drop looks less like a corrective pullback before going back to a new ATH. From risk/reward perspective, “if" correction has indeed started, the downside space is significantly larger than the upside space here.

Hence closing short trade positions, locking in their profit/putting cash aside, and rotating into core positions when opportunities come.

 

所有跟帖： 

• I'd call this choppy price action. -bogbog- ♀ 给 bogbog 发送悄悄话 bogbog 的博客首页 (91 bytes) () 02/03/2026 postreply 12:22:42

• I did not say it is a real crash -三心三意- ♂ 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 02/03/2026 postreply 12:42:19

• So far I think this is normal market sentiment fluctuation. -bogbog- ♀ 给 bogbog 发送悄悄话 bogbog 的博客首页 (151 bytes) () 02/03/2026 postreply 12:49:05

• As long as trades are profitable, it is ok to make them -三心三意- ♂ 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 02/03/2026 postreply 12:59:46

• Yes, 只是个人感觉暂时应该不需要panic selling -bogbog- ♀ 给 bogbog 发送悄悄话 bogbog 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 02/03/2026 postreply 13:01:06

• I dont think anyone is panic sell here -三心三意- ♂ 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 02/03/2026 postreply 13:13:52

• Raise Cash是明智之举 -云起千百度- ♀ 给 云起千百度 发送悄悄话 云起千百度 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 02/03/2026 postreply 12:33:50

• 一季度向下的幅度和可能性远远超过向上 -云起千百度- ♀ 给 云起千百度 发送悄悄话 云起千百度 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 02/03/2026 postreply 12:35:30

• 谢谢三心，思路很明确。你的反应真快，今天在开盘后不久就关掉TQQQ。 -小松松- ♀ 给 小松松 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/03/2026 postreply 12:36:11

• 说不定狗狗财报超好，明天大涨呢：）但先把短线仓位拿出来看情况再说 -三心三意- ♂ 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 02/03/2026 postreply 12:47:05

• 如果明后天大涨，也要卖股票攒现金了 -rainydayy- ♀ 给 rainydayy 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/03/2026 postreply 12:55:34

• 是的，为各种情况做好准备。 -小松松- ♀ 给 小松松 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/03/2026 postreply 12:59:54

• 估计还是因为OpenAI,它要是垮了那市场会很惨 -ihavingfun- ♂ 给 ihavingfun 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/03/2026 postreply 13:12:10

• 谢谢简洁精辟的总结 -Blueview2026- ♂ 给 Blueview2026 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/03/2026 postreply 13:15:32

• AMD beat业绩却大跌5%，现在好像只有它还在Openai缺口的上方 -ihavingfun- ♂ 给 ihavingfun 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/03/2026 postreply 13:22:45

• 现在业绩好的也砸。 -小松松- ♀ 给 小松松 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/03/2026 postreply 13:36:56

• 更加像板块轮动，各种非大科技的etf都没有跌，xme ura shld xle -grand_canyon- ♀ 给 grand_canyon 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/03/2026 postreply 14:16:38

• 三哥这次有做ratio put吗？ -楚怀沙- ♀ 给 楚怀沙 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/03/2026 postreply 14:32:38

• 很少，这次我是用短线“炒”来raise cash aside. 时机到了，我还是会全部转入龙头仓位 -三心三意- ♂ 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 02/03/2026 postreply 14:40:06

• 我也是这么猜的你的动机 -dancingpig- ♀ 给 dancingpig 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/03/2026 postreply 15:38:31

• Thanks for sharing! I have done the same, just in case. :) -aloevera- ♀ 给 aloevera 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/03/2026 postreply 18:23:54

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