DeepWave 1/8 盘中交易结构数据总结

本帖于 2026-01-08 11:00:16 时间, 由普通用户 yifan99 编辑

这是DeepWave 1/8 盘中交易数据结构图标分析的总结结果。这些总结因该配合图看,但因为图表太多了,没有时间整理了,大家可以看看,交流。如果需要Chart,可以request。

总体结论(未来约10个交易日)

  • VIX=15.29(低波动):更适合“区间均值回归”,不适合追涨杀跌。

  • 大盘(SPY / ^GSPC)趋势仍偏多,但整体在“收敛盘整”:带宽只有 ~2.5%,说明指数在压缩。

  • 多数龙头处于“WAIT / RANGE MODE”:不是趋势主升段,核心策略是等靠近P10再买、靠近P90减仓/卖出,小仓位滚动。

3个“最值得说”的信号

  1. 指数带宽极窄(SPY/标普)→ 市场在“憋大招”
    这通常意味着:要么上破继续走,要么先下洗再上。短线用区间思维更稳。

  2. 科技龙头多为 Supertrend Bear,但模型偏 Bullish
    这代表典型的:趋势指标没翻多,但概率模型认为下跌空间有限/回归概率大
    → 操作上更适合“低吸高抛”,不适合“趋势追突破”。

  3. 少数是真正的“BUY/HOLD”(结构更强)
    更像趋势品种的:GOOG/GOOGL、BA、LRCX、TMO、AMAT、MRK、ASML。AMAZN(还有GE、MU但模型bias有分歧)
    → 这些才值得“逢回调加”,其他多是“等”

主仓/关注票:一句话操作建议

  • NVDA:置信度很低(0.16)+ Supertrend Bear → 只做区间:P10附近试探,P90减仓;别重仓梭哈

  • AMZN:置信度高(0.84)但仍是 Range → 等回踩P10再加,靠近P90做T

  • TSLA:趋势指标偏空、模型偏多但置信度低(0.21)→ 观望为主,最多轻仓区间

  • AVGO:Trend Bear + 但置信度高(0.76)→ 反弹减仓更优,不追涨

  • GOOG/GOOGL相对最清晰的多头(ADX上来、Supertrend Bull)回调加仓/持有

  • META:Supertrend Bull 但有 Death cross,仍是 Range → 高位减、低位接,别追

  • TSM:Bull但Range → 区间交易,回踩再加

  • INTC:Supertrend Bull、DI强,但模型bias Bearish → 有分歧:只轻仓,按P10/P90做

  • HOOD:Trend Bear + 区间 → 别重仓,反弹优先减风险

  • QQQ / TQQQ:Supertrend Bear、ADX低(典型盘整偏弱)→ 别追,等接近P10再说-

  • COST

     - Close: 928.36 | Daily change: +5.19% | rVol14: 1.12 | VolZ20: 0.03

    - Model probs: Up 0.11 / Range 0.68 / Down 0.20

    - Band: P10 884.81 | P50 918.70 | P90 950.35 | Width 7.06%

    - Supertrend: Bull (FLIP!) | ADX 24.22 | +DI 36.33 vs -DI 17.89

    - Cross: Death cross 2025-08-20

    - Confidence: 0.95 | spread_z: -3.03 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

     

    所以Costco有望继续攀升!

  • --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Forecast horizon (trading days): 10

Tickers: 86

Context VIX (once): 15.29

 ========================================================================================

NVDA

Summary — NVDA (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 184.33 | Daily change: -2.53% | rVol14: 0.63 | VolZ20: -1.18

- Model probs: Up 0.58 / Range 0.29 / Down 0.13

- Band: P10 175.18 | P50 192.76 | P90 201.39 | Width 14.22%

- Supertrend: Bear  | ADX 13.21 | +DI 21.36 vs -DI 19.41

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-06-27

- Confidence: 0.16 | spread_z: 1.64 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bear | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 184 | est cost $2838

 

========================================================================================

AMZN

Summary — AMZN (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 245.44 | Daily change: +1.61% | rVol14: 0.48 | VolZ20: -1.12

- Model probs: Up 0.32 / Range 0.62 / Down 0.06

- Band: P10 241.54 | P50 249.67 | P90 257.89 | Width 6.66%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 11.74 | +DI 27.02 vs -DI 16.77

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-07-08

- Confidence: 0.84 | spread_z: -1.65 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 245 | est cost $3648

 

====================================================================================================

TSLA

Summary — TSLA (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 435.39 | Daily change: +0.92% | rVol14: 0.50 | VolZ20: -1.72

- Model probs: Up 0.59 / Range 0.36 / Down 0.05

- Band: P10 418.93 | P50 463.89 | P90 483.85 | Width 14.91%

- Supertrend: Bear  | ADX 21.60 | +DI 14.37 vs -DI 28.44

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-09-16

- Confidence: 0.21 | spread_z: 1.33 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bear | ADX mode: Emerging | DI direction: Bear | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 440 | est cost $8305

 

====================================================================================================

AVGO

Summary — AVGO (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 332.42 | Daily change: -3.23% | rVol14: 0.33 | VolZ20: -0.85

- Model probs: Up 0.38 / Range 0.54 / Down 0.08

- Band: P10 311.11 | P50 345.07 | P90 366.76 | Width 16.74%

- Supertrend: Bear  | ADX 16.23 | +DI 19.08 vs -DI 27.98

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-05-15

- Confidence: 0.76 | spread_z: -1.15 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bear | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bear | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 330 | est cost $5548

 

====================================================================================================

GOOGL

Summary — GOOGL (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 326.91 | Daily change: +1.53% | rVol14: 0.75 | VolZ20: -0.80

- Model probs: Up 0.53 / Range 0.36 / Down 0.12

- Band: P10 315.23 | P50 335.77 | P90 349.56 | Width 10.50%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 24.00 | +DI 29.50 vs -DI 13.64

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-07-23

- Confidence: 0.37 | spread_z: 0.52 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Emerging | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **BUY / HOLD**. Uptrend. Add on pullbacks (MA21/P50); protect with Supertrend. Targets: P50 then P90. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 325 | est cost $5142

 

====================================================================================================

META

Summary — META (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 643.12 | Daily change: -0.86% | rVol14: 0.43 | VolZ20: -0.86

- Model probs: Up 0.59 / Range 0.21 / Down 0.20

- Band: P10 617.61 | P50 653.50 | P90 691.96 | Width 11.56%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 28.54 | +DI 22.35 vs -DI 21.60

- Cross: Death cross 2025-12-10

- Confidence: 0.73 | spread_z: -0.97 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Trend | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 640 | est cost $7688

 

====================================================================================================

TSM

Summary — TSM (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 316.83 | Daily change: -0.58% | rVol14: 0.64 | VolZ20: -1.00

- Model probs: Up 0.30 / Range 0.64 / Down 0.05

- Band: P10 306.95 | P50 322.99 | P90 337.94 | Width 9.78%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 19.66 | +DI 32.26 vs -DI 18.13

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-06-25

- Confidence: 0.71 | spread_z: -0.92 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 320 | est cost $5318

 

====================================================================================================

INTC

Summary — INTC (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 41.16 | Daily change: -3.45% | rVol14: 0.70 | VolZ20: -0.53

- Model probs: Up 0.18 / Range 0.59 / Down 0.23

- Band: P10 38.22 | P50 40.51 | P90 44.27 | Width 14.70%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 23.08 | +DI 39.27 vs -DI 13.29

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-08-15

- Confidence: 0.62 | spread_z: -0.48 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Emerging | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bearish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-11-20 | strike 42 | est cost $872

 

====================================================================================================

HOOD

Summary — HOOD (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 115.91 | Daily change: -0.90% | rVol14: 0.58 | VolZ20: -1.26

- Model probs: Up 0.25 / Range 0.52 / Down 0.23

- Band: P10 103.13 | P50 118.71 | P90 122.51 | Width 16.72%

- Supertrend: Bear  | ADX 17.65 | +DI 19.46 vs -DI 28.04

- Cross:

- Confidence: 0.60 | spread_z: -0.41 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bear | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bear | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-10-16 | strike 120 | est cost $2595

 

====================================================================================================

QQQ

Summary — QQQ (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 619.52 | Daily change: -0.72% | rVol14: 0.66 | VolZ20: -1.21

- Model probs: Up 0.76 / Range 0.19 / Down 0.05

- Band: P10 614.22 | P50 634.09 | P90 651.08 | Width 5.95%

- Supertrend: Bear  | ADX 12.52 | +DI 19.05 vs -DI 25.57

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-06-23

- Confidence: 0.58 | spread_z: -0.30 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bear | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bear | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 620 | est cost $4421

 

====================================================================================================

TQQQ

Summary — TQQQ (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 53.94 | Daily change: -2.23% | rVol14: 0.88 | VolZ20: -0.71

- Model probs: Up 0.41 / Range 0.45 / Down 0.15

- Band: P10 50.67 | P50 56.09 | P90 59.21 | Width 15.84%

- Supertrend: Bear  | ADX 14.08 | +DI 18.74 vs -DI 26.16

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-07-15

- Confidence: 0.45 | spread_z: 0.18 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bear | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bear | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2027-01-15 | strike 54 | est cost $1252

 

====================================================================================================

ALAB

Summary — ALAB (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 157.75 | Daily change: -4.84% | rVol14: 0.42 | VolZ20: -1.05

- Model probs: Up 0.33 / Range 0.51 / Down 0.17

- Band: P10 141.56 | P50 162.16 | P90 183.16 | Width 26.37%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 13.82 | +DI 20.98 vs -DI 20.66

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-07-08

- Confidence: 0.50 | spread_z: -0.02 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-11-20 | strike 160 | est cost $4842

 

====================================================================================================

ETHA

Summary — ETHA (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 23.51 | Daily change: -0.70% | rVol14: 0.55 | VolZ20: -1.30

- Model probs: Up 0.41 / Range 0.15 / Down 0.43

- Band: P10 21.12 | P50 24.27 | P90 25.91 | Width 20.37%

- Supertrend: Bear  | ADX 17.38 | +DI 25.07 vs -DI 25.40

- Cross: Death cross 2026-01-08

- Confidence: 0.23 | spread_z: 1.21 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bear | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bear | Model bias: Bearish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2027-01-15 | strike 24 | est cost $615

 

====================================================================================================

MSFT

Summary — MSFT (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 477.68 | Daily change: -1.20% | rVol14: 0.34 | VolZ20: -1.09

- Model probs: Up 0.50 / Range 0.37 / Down 0.13

- Band: P10 466.45 | P50 490.69 | P90 502.83 | Width 7.61%

- Supertrend: Bear  | ADX 16.47 | +DI 23.19 vs -DI 25.34

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-06-09

- Confidence: 0.61 | spread_z: -0.44 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bear | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bear | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 480 | est cost $4340

 

====================================================================================================

URA

Summary — URA (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 49.01 | Daily change: -1.65% | rVol14: 0.36 | VolZ20: -1.42

- Model probs: Up 0.40 / Range 0.41 / Down 0.19

- Band: P10 46.30 | P50 50.20 | P90 52.87 | Width 13.40%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 17.12 | +DI 36.42 vs -DI 16.27

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-06-16

- Confidence: 0.51 | spread_z: -0.05 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2027-01-15 | strike 49 | est cost $1055

 

====================================================================================================

^VIX

Summary — ^VIX (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 15.28 | Daily change: -0.65% | rVol14: 0.00 | VolZ20: 0.00

- Model probs: Up 0.17 / Range 0.22 / Down 0.61

- Band: P10 12.49 | P50 14.86 | P90 18.98 | Width 42.44%

- Supertrend: Bear  | ADX 11.97 | +DI 20.17 vs -DI 15.33

- Cross: Death cross 2025-07-08

- Confidence: 0.27 | spread_z: 0.98 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bear | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bearish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-09-16 | strike 15 | est cost $39

 

====================================================================================================

MU

Summary — MU (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 324.97 | Daily change: -4.29% | rVol14: 0.62 | VolZ20: -0.74

- Model probs: Up 0.10 / Range 0.62 / Down 0.27

- Band: P10 267.43 | P50 321.44 | P90 356.78 | Width 27.50%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 27.38 | +DI 36.76 vs -DI 18.78

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-06-27

- Confidence: 0.35 | spread_z: 0.62 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Trend | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bearish

- 10-day plan: **BUY / HOLD**. Uptrend. Add on pullbacks (MA21/P50); protect with Supertrend. Targets: P50 then P90. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 320 | est cost $8893

 

====================================================================================================

BA

Summary — BA (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 229.10 | Daily change: +0.43% | rVol14: 0.52 | VolZ20: -1.08

- Model probs: Up 0.51 / Range 0.34 / Down 0.15

- Band: P10 223.68 | P50 230.94 | P90 245.67 | Width 9.60%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 43.05 | +DI 37.00 vs -DI 9.01

- Cross: Death cross 2025-12-17

- Confidence: 0.75 | spread_z: -1.09 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Trend | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **BUY / HOLD**. Uptrend. Add on pullbacks (MA21/P50); protect with Supertrend. Targets: P50 then P90. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-11-20 | strike 230 | est cost $3145

 

====================================================================================================

AMD

Summary — AMD (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 204.57 | Daily change: -2.59% | rVol14: 0.60 | VolZ20: -1.02

- Model probs: Up 0.35 / Range 0.48 / Down 0.17

- Band: P10 191.77 | P50 209.06 | P90 226.13 | Width 16.80%

- Supertrend: Bear  | ADX 12.62 | +DI 22.62 vs -DI 27.40

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-07-16

- Confidence: 0.58 | spread_z: -0.34 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bear | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bear | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-11-20 | strike 200 | est cost $3330

 

====================================================================================================

AAPL

Summary — AAPL (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 256.75 | Daily change: -1.38% | rVol14: 0.62 | VolZ20: -0.58

- Model probs: Up 0.84 / Range 0.13 / Down 0.03

- Band: P10 253.54 | P50 269.13 | P90 274.55 | Width 8.18%

- Supertrend: Bear  | ADX 19.04 | +DI 15.01 vs -DI 31.97

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-09-15

- Confidence: 0.42 | spread_z: 0.34 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bear | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bear | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 255 | est cost $2175

 

====================================================================================================

VST

Summary — VST (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 149.79 | Daily change: -3.11% | rVol14: 0.84 | VolZ20: -0.48

- Model probs: Up 0.28 / Range 0.59 / Down 0.12

- Band: P10 143.95 | P50 155.70 | P90 164.40 | Width 13.65%

- Supertrend: Bear  | ADX 16.54 | +DI 13.63 vs -DI 26.96

- Cross: Death cross 2026-01-07

- Confidence: 0.43 | spread_z: 0.28 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bear | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bear | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 150 | est cost $2595

 

====================================================================================================

NFLX

Summary — NFLX (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 90.14 | Daily change: -0.66% | rVol14: 0.53 | VolZ20: -1.19

- Model probs: Up 0.50 / Range 0.26 / Down 0.24

- Band: P10 85.55 | P50 89.29 | P90 95.79 | Width 11.37%

- Supertrend: Bear  | ADX 29.38 | +DI 14.49 vs -DI 29.73

- Cross: Death cross 2025-12-05

- Confidence: 0.55 | spread_z: -0.22 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bear | ADX mode: Trend | DI direction: Bear | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 90 | est cost $1160

 

====================================================================================================

^GSPC

Summary — ^GSPC (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 6922.49 | Daily change: +0.02% | rVol14: 0.32 | VolZ20: -1.97

- Model probs: Up 0.50 / Range 0.47 / Down 0.04

- Band: P10 6879.16 | P50 7032.34 | P90 7051.34 | Width 2.49%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 11.11 | +DI 24.01 vs -DI 21.38

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-07-01

- Confidence: 0.73 | spread_z: -0.98 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: (empty / unavailable)

 

====================================================================================================

SPY

Summary — SPY (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 689.77 | Daily change: +0.03% | rVol14: 0.49 | VolZ20: -1.73

- Model probs: Up 0.54 / Range 0.42 / Down 0.04

- Band: P10 687.57 | P50 700.24 | P90 704.58 | Width 2.47%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 11.83 | +DI 23.97 vs -DI 20.68

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-06-27

- Confidence: 0.73 | spread_z: -1.00 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 690 | est cost $5652

 

====================================================================================================

IBIT

Summary — IBIT (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 51.58 | Daily change: +0.08% | rVol14: 0.44 | VolZ20: -1.78

- Model probs: Up 0.27 / Range 0.33 / Down 0.40

- Band: P10 48.50 | P50 52.89 | P90 54.72 | Width 12.05%

- Supertrend: Bear  | ADX 15.35 | +DI 25.46 vs -DI 24.35

- Cross: Death cross 2025-12-11

- Confidence: 0.70 | spread_z: -0.83 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bear | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bearish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-10-16 | strike 50 | est cost $705

 

====================================================================================================

^DJI

Summary — ^DJI (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 49318.38 | Daily change: +0.66% | rVol14: 0.54 | VolZ20: -1.07

- Model probs: Up 0.45 / Range 0.52 / Down 0.02

- Band: P10 49544.49 | P50 50328.03 | P90 50400.40 | Width 1.74%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 20.82 | +DI 28.37 vs -DI 16.89

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-07-15

- Confidence: 0.77 | spread_z: -1.21 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Emerging | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **BUY / HOLD**. Uptrend. Add on pullbacks (MA21/P50); protect with Supertrend. Targets: P50 then P90. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: (empty / unavailable)

 

====================================================================================================

ASML

Summary — ASML (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 1185.24 | Daily change: -3.52% | rVol14: 0.87 | VolZ20: -0.26

- Model probs: Up 0.21 / Range 0.70 / Down 0.09

- Band: P10 1089.20 | P50 1198.47 | P90 1253.92 | Width 13.90%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 24.92 | +DI 39.14 vs -DI 20.67

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-06-25

- Confidence: 0.75 | spread_z: -1.13 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Emerging | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **BUY / HOLD**. Uptrend. Add on pullbacks (MA21/P50); protect with Supertrend. Targets: P50 then P90. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-11-20 | strike 1160 | est cost $21260

 

====================================================================================================

COST

Summary — COST (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 928.36 | Daily change: +5.19% | rVol14: 1.12 | VolZ20: 0.03

- Model probs: Up 0.11 / Range 0.68 / Down 0.20

- Band: P10 884.81 | P50 918.70 | P90 950.35 | Width 7.06%

- Supertrend: Bull (FLIP!) | ADX 24.22 | +DI 36.33 vs -DI 17.89

- Cross: Death cross 2025-08-20

- Confidence: 0.95 | spread_z: -3.03 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Emerging | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bearish

- 10-day plan: **BUY / HOLD**. Uptrend. Add on pullbacks (MA21/P50); protect with Supertrend. Targets: P50 then P90. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-11-20 | strike 920 | est cost $10072

 

====================================================================================================

RKLB

Summary — RKLB (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 83.60 | Daily change: -0.57% | rVol14: 0.65 | VolZ20: -1.07

- Model probs: Up 0.25 / Range 0.55 / Down 0.20

- Band: P10 74.70 | P50 85.47 | P90 91.84 | Width 20.50%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 38.82 | +DI 38.48 vs -DI 10.34

- Cross:

- Confidence: 0.90 | spread_z: -2.20 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Trend | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **BUY / HOLD**. Uptrend. Add on pullbacks (MA21/P50); protect with Supertrend. Targets: P50 then P90. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 85 | est cost $2935

 

====================================================================================================

UNH

Summary — UNH (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 346.21 | Daily change: +1.32% | rVol14: 0.40 | VolZ20: -1.73

- Model probs: Up 0.38 / Range 0.34 / Down 0.28

- Band: P10 333.37 | P50 343.86 | P90 367.83 | Width 9.96%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 17.57 | +DI 28.11 vs -DI 16.65

- Cross: Death cross 2025-01-31

- Confidence: 0.84 | spread_z: -1.67 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 350 | est cost $4822

 

====================================================================================================

SOFI

Summary — SOFI (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 27.65 | Daily change: +2.41% | rVol14: 0.57 | VolZ20: -0.90

- Model probs: Up 0.25 / Range 0.52 / Down 0.23

- Band: P10 25.36 | P50 27.70 | P90 29.86 | Width 16.28%

- Supertrend: Bear  | ADX 9.27 | +DI 24.45 vs -DI 20.96

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-06-16

- Confidence: 0.66 | spread_z: -0.64 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bear | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 28 | est cost $638

 

====================================================================================================

ORCL

Summary — ORCL (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 190.37 | Daily change: -1.28% | rVol14: 0.52 | VolZ20: -0.82

- Model probs: Up 0.38 / Range 0.47 / Down 0.15

- Band: P10 174.61 | P50 194.66 | P90 204.90 | Width 15.91%

- Supertrend: Bear  | ADX 22.82 | +DI 19.16 vs -DI 29.49

- Cross: Death cross 2026-01-08

- Confidence: 0.37 | spread_z: 0.55 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bear | ADX mode: Emerging | DI direction: Bear | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 190 | est cost $3352

 

====================================================================================================

OKLO

Summary — OKLO (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 96.40 | Daily change: -1.23% | rVol14: 0.62 | VolZ20: -0.94

- Model probs: Up 0.09 / Range 0.60 / Down 0.31

- Band: P10 81.15 | P50 93.58 | P90 109.35 | Width 29.25%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 21.04 | +DI 31.62 vs -DI 19.38

- Cross:

- Confidence: 0.47 | spread_z: 0.12 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Emerging | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bearish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-10-16 | strike 90 | est cost $3602

 

====================================================================================================

GLD

Summary — GLD (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 410.21 | Daily change: +0.24% | rVol14: 0.37 | VolZ20: -2.08

- Model probs: Up 0.37 / Range 0.58 / Down 0.05

- Band: P10 402.33 | P50 418.30 | P90 431.82 | Width 7.19%

- Supertrend: Bear  | ADX 26.96 | +DI 33.35 vs -DI 23.25

- Cross:

- Confidence: 0.74 | spread_z: -1.02 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bear | ADX mode: Trend | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-10-16 | strike 410 | est cost $2583

 

====================================================================================================

SLV

Summary — SLV (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 69.07 | Daily change: -2.67% | rVol14: 0.59 | VolZ20: -0.79

- Model probs: Up 0.22 / Range 0.66 / Down 0.11

- Band: P10 64.95 | P50 70.14 | P90 74.90 | Width 14.40%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 42.77 | +DI 39.60 vs -DI 23.42

- Cross:

- Confidence: 0.48 | spread_z: 0.10 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Trend | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-12-31 | strike 69 | est cost $1330

 

====================================================================================================

APP

Summary — APP (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 622.34 | Daily change: -1.67% | rVol14: 0.33 | VolZ20: -1.45

- Model probs: Up 0.45 / Range 0.46 / Down 0.10

- Band: P10 591.74 | P50 657.70 | P90 698.72 | Width 17.19%

- Supertrend: Bear  | ADX 24.02 | +DI 16.64 vs -DI 27.19

- Cross:

- Confidence: 0.90 | spread_z: -2.19 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bear | ADX mode: Emerging | DI direction: Bear | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 620 | est cost $14220

 

====================================================================================================

LRCX

Summary — LRCX (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 199.56 | Daily change: -1.73% | rVol14: 0.46 | VolZ20: -0.76

- Model probs: Up 0.17 / Range 0.58 / Down 0.25

- Band: P10 181.72 | P50 198.11 | P90 214.17 | Width 16.26%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 23.13 | +DI 39.03 vs -DI 16.02

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-06-16

- Confidence: 0.66 | spread_z: -0.68 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Emerging | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bearish

- 10-day plan: **BUY / HOLD**. Uptrend. Add on pullbacks (MA21/P50); protect with Supertrend. Targets: P50 then P90. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 200 | est cost $4292

 

====================================================================================================

GOOG

Summary — GOOG (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 327.48 | Daily change: +1.57% | rVol14: 0.72 | VolZ20: -0.76

- Model probs: Up 0.50 / Range 0.38 / Down 0.12

- Band: P10 315.72 | P50 335.36 | P90 350.01 | Width 10.47%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 23.97 | +DI 28.97 vs -DI 13.72

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-07-24

- Confidence: 0.34 | spread_z: 0.65 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Emerging | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **BUY / HOLD**. Uptrend. Add on pullbacks (MA21/P50); protect with Supertrend. Targets: P50 then P90. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 325 | est cost $5162

 

====================================================================================================

CAT

Summary — CAT (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 600.00 | Daily change: +0.58% | rVol14: 0.38 | VolZ20: -1.40

- Model probs: Up 0.31 / Range 0.58 / Down 0.12

- Band: P10 568.58 | P50 610.98 | P90 640.51 | Width 11.99%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 18.73 | +DI 29.29 vs -DI 19.59

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-07-15

- Confidence: 0.29 | spread_z: 0.91 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 600 | est cost $8968

 

====================================================================================================

SHOP

Summary — SHOP (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 166.43 | Daily change: -0.19% | rVol14: 0.37 | VolZ20: -1.35

- Model probs: Up 0.53 / Range 0.36 / Down 0.11

- Band: P10 157.81 | P50 170.66 | P90 182.50 | Width 14.83%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 11.51 | +DI 19.91 vs -DI 21.17

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-06-16

- Confidence: 0.36 | spread_z: 0.58 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bear | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-11-20 | strike 180 | est cost $3770

 

====================================================================================================

TMO

Summary — TMO (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 617.78 | Daily change: +0.10% | rVol14: 0.64 | VolZ20: -0.68

- Model probs: Up 0.49 / Range 0.47 / Down 0.05

- Band: P10 607.53 | P50 630.95 | P90 646.17 | Width 6.26%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 24.91 | +DI 32.07 vs -DI 11.20

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-09-30

- Confidence: 0.94 | spread_z: -2.74 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Emerging | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **BUY / HOLD**. Uptrend. Add on pullbacks (MA21/P50); protect with Supertrend. Targets: P50 then P90. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 620 | est cost $7200

 

====================================================================================================

AMAT

Summary — AMAT (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 280.50 | Daily change: -4.00% | rVol14: 0.33 | VolZ20: -0.82

- Model probs: Up 0.34 / Range 0.54 / Down 0.12

- Band: P10 253.92 | P50 281.93 | P90 298.55 | Width 15.91%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 20.23 | +DI 34.49 vs -DI 19.86

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-07-14

- Confidence: 0.24 | spread_z: 1.14 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Emerging | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **BUY / HOLD**. Uptrend. Add on pullbacks (MA21/P50); protect with Supertrend. Targets: P50 then P90. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-11-20 | strike 280 | est cost $5140

 

====================================================================================================

C

Summary — C (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 121.77 | Daily change: +0.33% | rVol14: 0.23 | VolZ20: -1.42

- Model probs: Up 0.49 / Range 0.45 / Down 0.07

- Band: P10 119.97 | P50 124.95 | P90 129.42 | Width 7.76%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 42.72 | +DI 38.02 vs -DI 14.65

- Cross:

- Confidence: 0.49 | spread_z: 0.03 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Trend | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **BUY / HOLD**. Uptrend. Add on pullbacks (MA21/P50); protect with Supertrend. Targets: P50 then P90. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-11-20 | strike 120 | est cost $1550

 

====================================================================================================

LLY

Summary — LLY (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 1097.10 | Daily change: -0.99% | rVol14: 0.54 | VolZ20: -1.11

- Model probs: Up 0.41 / Range 0.47 / Down 0.12

- Band: P10 1052.01 | P50 1111.82 | P90 1164.84 | Width 10.28%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 27.11 | +DI 28.54 vs -DI 14.69

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-11-05

- Confidence: 0.62 | spread_z: -0.51 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Trend | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 1100 | est cost $17150

 

====================================================================================================

JNJ

Summary — JNJ (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 206.77 | Daily change: -0.34% | rVol14: 0.33 | VolZ20: -1.10

- Model probs: Up 0.55 / Range 0.39 / Down 0.06

- Band: P10 204.28 | P50 211.44 | P90 212.69 | Width 4.07%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 23.10 | +DI 22.03 vs -DI 20.27

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-07-09

- Confidence: 0.63 | spread_z: -0.55 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Emerging | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 210 | est cost $1673

 

====================================================================================================

PLTR

Summary — PLTR (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 177.38 | Daily change: -2.37% | rVol14: 0.72 | VolZ20: -0.80

- Model probs: Up 0.25 / Range 0.55 / Down 0.20

- Band: P10 167.45 | P50 182.55 | P90 194.02 | Width 14.98%

- Supertrend: Bear  | ADX 15.05 | +DI 22.01 vs -DI 25.57

- Cross:

- Confidence: 0.64 | spread_z: -0.58 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bear | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bear | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-11-20 | strike 175 | est cost $3315

 

====================================================================================================

MRK

Summary — MRK (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 110.81 | Daily change: +2.03% | rVol14: 0.55 | VolZ20: -0.76

- Model probs: Up 0.47 / Range 0.40 / Down 0.12

- Band: P10 108.67 | P50 112.95 | P90 115.46 | Width 6.13%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 35.91 | +DI 33.99 vs -DI 11.14

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-10-21

- Confidence: 0.80 | spread_z: -1.38 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Trend | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **BUY / HOLD**. Uptrend. Add on pullbacks (MA21/P50); protect with Supertrend. Targets: P50 then P90. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 110 | est cost $1250

 

====================================================================================================

AZN

Summary — AZN (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 94.92 | Daily change: -0.25% | rVol14: 0.63 | VolZ20: -0.95

- Model probs: Up 0.46 / Range 0.45 / Down 0.10

- Band: P10 93.36 | P50 96.79 | P90 99.07 | Width 6.01%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 27.28 | +DI 34.71 vs -DI 16.33

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-07-02

- Confidence: 0.72 | spread_z: -0.95 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Trend | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **BUY / HOLD**. Uptrend. Add on pullbacks (MA21/P50); protect with Supertrend. Targets: P50 then P90. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2027-01-15 | strike 95 | est cost $1062

 

====================================================================================================

BABA

Summary — BABA (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 154.22 | Daily change: +5.09% | rVol14: 1.60 | VolZ20: 1.60

- Model probs: Up 0.23 / Range 0.64 / Down 0.14

- Band: P10 145.60 | P50 157.31 | P90 164.76 | Width 12.43%

- Supertrend: Bear  | ADX 13.94 | +DI 32.25 vs -DI 23.83

- Cross:

- Confidence: 0.18 | spread_z: 1.49 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bear | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-11-20 | strike 155 | est cost $2152

 

====================================================================================================

RY

Summary — RY (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 170.24 | Daily change: +0.64% | rVol14: 0.26 | VolZ20: -2.01

- Model probs: Up 0.63 / Range 0.29 / Down 0.08

- Band: P10 169.83 | P50 171.92 | P90 176.41 | Width 3.86%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 56.22 | +DI 32.56 vs -DI 12.72

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-06-03

- Confidence: 0.75 | spread_z: -1.10 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Trend | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2027-01-15 | strike 170 | est cost $1420

 

====================================================================================================

HSBC

Summary — HSBC (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 80.42 | Daily change: +0.19% | rVol14: 0.43 | VolZ20: -1.52

- Model probs: Up 0.45 / Range 0.49 / Down 0.06

- Band: P10 78.97 | P50 82.27 | P90 84.00 | Width 6.26%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 38.36 | +DI 45.68 vs -DI 22.76

- Cross:

- Confidence: 0.57 | spread_z: -0.28 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Trend | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 80 | est cost $690

 

====================================================================================================

MS

Summary — MS (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 185.85 | Daily change: +0.57% | rVol14: 0.28 | VolZ20: -1.55

- Model probs: Up 0.51 / Range 0.40 / Down 0.09

- Band: P10 180.89 | P50 188.29 | P90 194.26 | Width 7.19%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 28.40 | +DI 31.06 vs -DI 17.25

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-06-12

- Confidence: 0.48 | spread_z: 0.08 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Trend | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **BUY / HOLD**. Uptrend. Add on pullbacks (MA21/P50); protect with Supertrend. Targets: P50 then P90. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 185 | est cost $2182

 

====================================================================================================

RTX

Summary — RTX (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 187.18 | Daily change: +0.78% | rVol14: 1.26 | VolZ20: 0.30

- Model probs: Up 0.64 / Range 0.31 / Down 0.05

- Band: P10 182.35 | P50 191.36 | P90 199.18 | Width 8.99%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 33.71 | +DI 32.73 vs -DI 8.46

- Cross:

- Confidence: 0.22 | spread_z: 1.29 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Trend | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **BUY / HOLD**. Uptrend. Add on pullbacks (MA21/P50); protect with Supertrend. Targets: P50 then P90. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 185 | est cost $2312

 

====================================================================================================

GS

Summary — GS (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 943.15 | Daily change: +0.23% | rVol14: 0.35 | VolZ20: -1.40

- Model probs: Up 0.33 / Range 0.60 / Down 0.06

- Band: P10 910.13 | P50 960.29 | P90 994.55 | Width 8.95%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 36.49 | +DI 36.37 vs -DI 15.22

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-06-10

- Confidence: 0.73 | spread_z: -0.98 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Trend | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **BUY / HOLD**. Uptrend. Add on pullbacks (MA21/P50); protect with Supertrend. Targets: P50 then P90. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 945 | est cost $12035

 

====================================================================================================

TM

Summary — TM (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 214.45 | Daily change: +0.53% | rVol14: 0.79 | VolZ20: -0.70

- Model probs: Up 0.57 / Range 0.35 / Down 0.08

- Band: P10 212.14 | P50 218.06 | P90 225.86 | Width 6.40%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 20.16 | +DI 28.85 vs -DI 28.88

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-08-22

- Confidence: 0.73 | spread_z: -0.99 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Emerging | DI direction: Bear | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2027-01-15 | strike 210 | est cost $2410

 

====================================================================================================

ABBV

Summary — ABBV (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 225.38 | Daily change: -3.44% | rVol14: 0.70 | VolZ20: -0.44

- Model probs: Up 0.42 / Range 0.48 / Down 0.09

- Band: P10 218.95 | P50 229.71 | P90 240.47 | Width 9.55%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 14.56 | +DI 25.65 vs -DI 19.97

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-07-01

- Confidence: 0.24 | spread_z: 1.15 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-10-16 | strike 230 | est cost $2330

 

====================================================================================================

GE

Summary — GE (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 316.13 | Daily change: -2.32% | rVol14: 0.55 | VolZ20: -1.07

- Model probs: Up 0.37 / Range 0.58 / Down 0.05

- Band: P10 307.70 | P50 323.05 | P90 335.51 | Width 8.80%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 24.62 | +DI 30.08 vs -DI 18.58

- Cross:

- Confidence: 0.51 | spread_z: -0.04 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Emerging | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **BUY / HOLD**. Uptrend. Add on pullbacks (MA21/P50); protect with Supertrend. Targets: P50 then P90. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 320 | est cost $4218

 

====================================================================================================

WFC

Summary — WFC (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 96.08 | Daily change: +1.90% | rVol14: 0.48 | VolZ20: -0.97

- Model probs: Up 0.49 / Range 0.44 / Down 0.07

- Band: P10 94.56 | P50 98.11 | P90 100.98 | Width 6.69%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 27.93 | +DI 26.15 vs -DI 16.06

- Cross:

- Confidence: 0.67 | spread_z: -0.72 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Trend | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 95 | est cost $940

 

====================================================================================================

AXP

Summary — AXP (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 384.64 | Daily change: +1.70% | rVol14: 0.33 | VolZ20: -1.12

- Model probs: Up 0.49 / Range 0.44 / Down 0.07

- Band: P10 371.94 | P50 392.44 | P90 408.63 | Width 9.54%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 16.42 | +DI 25.36 vs -DI 16.83

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-06-25

- Confidence: 0.34 | spread_z: 0.68 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 380 | est cost $5015

 

====================================================================================================

BAC

Summary — BAC (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 56.48 | Daily change: +1.51% | rVol14: 0.36 | VolZ20: -1.16

- Model probs: Up 0.42 / Range 0.48 / Down 0.11

- Band: P10 55.13 | P50 57.76 | P90 59.12 | Width 7.07%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 20.88 | +DI 26.68 vs -DI 21.41

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-06-27

- Confidence: 0.57 | spread_z: -0.28 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Emerging | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-11-20 | strike 58 | est cost $532

 

====================================================================================================

WMT

Summary — WMT (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 113.03 | Daily change: +0.27% | rVol14: 0.76 | VolZ20: -0.55

- Model probs: Up 0.60 / Range 0.32 / Down 0.08

- Band: P10 112.28 | P50 116.25 | P90 118.89 | Width 5.85%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 15.91 | +DI 21.44 vs -DI 22.80

- Cross:

- Confidence: 0.72 | spread_z: -0.94 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bear | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 115 | est cost $1108

 

====================================================================================================

NVS

Summary — NVS (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 142.26 | Daily change: +0.20% | rVol14: 0.47 | VolZ20: -1.19

- Model probs: Up 0.57 / Range 0.36 / Down 0.07

- Band: P10 141.69 | P50 145.36 | P90 148.66 | Width 4.90%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 29.25 | +DI 38.71 vs -DI 16.77

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-03-31

- Confidence: 0.79 | spread_z: -1.30 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Trend | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **BUY / HOLD**. Uptrend. Add on pullbacks (MA21/P50); protect with Supertrend. Targets: P50 then P90. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 140 | est cost $1365

 

====================================================================================================

CSCO

Summary — CSCO (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 73.83 | Daily change: -1.19% | rVol14: 0.34 | VolZ20: -0.83

- Model probs: Up 0.27 / Range 0.63 / Down 0.10

- Band: P10 72.38 | P50 75.66 | P90 76.92 | Width 6.15%

- Supertrend: Bear (FLIP!) | ADX 21.54 | +DI 13.48 vs -DI 27.51

- Cross:

- Confidence: 0.36 | spread_z: 0.58 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bear | ADX mode: Emerging | DI direction: Bear | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 75 | est cost $755

 

====================================================================================================

XOM

Summary — XOM (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 121.68 | Daily change: +2.69% | rVol14: 0.39 | VolZ20: -1.15

- Model probs: Up 0.29 / Range 0.63 / Down 0.08

- Band: P10 117.91 | P50 123.87 | P90 128.11 | Width 8.39%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 22.02 | +DI 31.88 vs -DI 21.30

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-08-11

- Confidence: 0.16 | spread_z: 1.68 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Emerging | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **BUY / HOLD**. Uptrend. Add on pullbacks (MA21/P50); protect with Supertrend. Targets: P50 then P90. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 120 | est cost $1120

 

====================================================================================================

JPM

Summary — JPM (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 330.94 | Daily change: +1.21% | rVol14: 0.34 | VolZ20: -1.29

- Model probs: Up 0.49 / Range 0.47 / Down 0.04

- Band: P10 325.35 | P50 337.75 | P90 348.64 | Width 7.04%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 15.20 | +DI 27.63 vs -DI 21.02

- Cross:

- Confidence: 0.50 | spread_z: -0.01 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 330 | est cost $3570

 

====================================================================================================

ISRG

Summary — ISRG (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 589.43 | Daily change: -0.48% | rVol14: 0.42 | VolZ20: -1.09

- Model probs: Up 0.42 / Range 0.49 / Down 0.09

- Band: P10 573.90 | P50 601.12 | P90 644.56 | Width 11.99%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 22.62 | +DI 35.23 vs -DI 22.12

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-12-03

- Confidence: 0.48 | spread_z: 0.09 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Emerging | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **BUY / HOLD**. Uptrend. Add on pullbacks (MA21/P50); protect with Supertrend. Targets: P50 then P90. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 580 | est cost $8730

 

====================================================================================================

MCD

Summary — MCD (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 308.00 | Daily change: +1.26% | rVol14: 0.41 | VolZ20: -1.36

- Model probs: Up 0.49 / Range 0.35 / Down 0.16

- Band: P10 300.41 | P50 312.61 | P90 324.79 | Width 7.91%

- Supertrend: Bear  | ADX 17.12 | +DI 21.33 vs -DI 24.15

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-12-08

- Confidence: 0.21 | spread_z: 1.34 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bear | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bear | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-11-20 | strike 310 | est cost $2065

 

====================================================================================================

CVX

Summary — CVX (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 158.02 | Daily change: +1.82% | rVol14: 0.52 | VolZ20: -0.57

- Model probs: Up 0.18 / Range 0.73 / Down 0.09

- Band: P10 154.53 | P50 158.40 | P90 165.27 | Width 6.79%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 18.26 | +DI 32.49 vs -DI 16.79

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-08-11

- Confidence: 0.89 | spread_z: -2.13 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 160 | est cost $1238

 

====================================================================================================

SHEL

Summary — SHEL (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 68.94 | Daily change: -3.63% | rVol14: 1.61 | VolZ20: 1.45

- Model probs: Up 0.37 / Range 0.41 / Down 0.22

- Band: P10 66.63 | P50 69.63 | P90 72.73 | Width 8.85%

- Supertrend: Bear  | ADX 13.19 | +DI 19.56 vs -DI 39.20

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-03-25

- Confidence: 0.08 | spread_z: 2.50 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bear | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bear | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 70 | est cost $635

 

====================================================================================================

IBM

Summary — IBM (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 303.39 | Daily change: +2.24% | rVol14: 0.38 | VolZ20: -1.07

- Model probs: Up 0.61 / Range 0.31 / Down 0.08

- Band: P10 299.31 | P50 309.47 | P90 321.36 | Width 7.27%

- Supertrend: Bear  | ADX 13.79 | +DI 19.13 vs -DI 23.72

- Cross:

- Confidence: 0.58 | spread_z: -0.33 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bear | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bear | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-10-16 | strike 165 | est cost $134

 

====================================================================================================

BRK-A

Summary — BRK-A (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 754876.75 | Daily change: +1.33% | rVol14: 0.54 | VolZ20: -0.89

- Model probs: Up 0.33 / Range 0.54 / Down 0.13

- Band: P10 737675.98 | P50 757596.72 | P90 795281.95 | Width 7.63%

- Supertrend: Bear  | ADX 11.41 | +DI 19.82 vs -DI 21.05

- Cross: Golden cross 2026-01-02

- Confidence: 0.32 | spread_z: 0.74 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bear | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bear | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: (empty / unavailable)

 

====================================================================================================

BRK-B

Summary — BRK-B (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 503.36 | Daily change: +1.46% | rVol14: 0.52 | VolZ20: -0.81

- Model probs: Up 0.47 / Range 0.41 / Down 0.13

- Band: P10 497.19 | P50 508.28 | P90 532.51 | Width 7.02%

- Supertrend: Bear  | ADX 12.70 | +DI 19.27 vs -DI 22.69

- Cross: Golden cross 2026-01-02

- Confidence: 0.39 | spread_z: 0.45 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bear | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bear | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: (empty / unavailable)

 

====================================================================================================

MA

Summary — MA (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 585.32 | Daily change: +0.93% | rVol14: 0.67 | VolZ20: -0.72

- Model probs: Up 0.35 / Range 0.52 / Down 0.13

- Band: P10 571.82 | P50 590.71 | P90 614.79 | Width 7.34%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 21.00 | +DI 26.67 vs -DI 16.41

- Cross: Death cross 2025-12-01

- Confidence: 0.76 | spread_z: -1.13 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Emerging | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **BUY / HOLD**. Uptrend. Add on pullbacks (MA21/P50); protect with Supertrend. Targets: P50 then P90. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-11-20 | strike 590 | est cost $5555

 

====================================================================================================

V

Summary — V (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 355.04 | Daily change: -0.24% | rVol14: 0.42 | VolZ20: -1.00

- Model probs: Up 0.30 / Range 0.62 / Down 0.08

- Band: P10 349.32 | P50 358.55 | P90 374.05 | Width 6.97%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 24.21 | +DI 24.90 vs -DI 22.71

- Cross: Death cross 2025-10-28

- Confidence: 0.79 | spread_z: -1.33 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Emerging | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-11-20 | strike 350 | est cost $3678

 

====================================================================================================

KO

Summary — KO (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 69.23 | Daily change: +2.50% | rVol14: 0.65 | VolZ20: -0.83

- Model probs: Up 0.42 / Range 0.40 / Down 0.17

- Band: P10 67.30 | P50 69.98 | P90 72.28 | Width 7.20%

- Supertrend: Bear  | ADX 26.26 | +DI 17.45 vs -DI 27.97

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-12-05

- Confidence: 0.37 | spread_z: 0.55 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bear | ADX mode: Trend | DI direction: Bear | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **REDUCE / HEDGE**. Downtrend. Avoid new longs; consider hedges or wait. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 70 | est cost $485

 

====================================================================================================

CRM

Summary — CRM (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 266.12 | Daily change: +1.22% | rVol14: 0.96 | VolZ20: -0.18

- Model probs: Up 0.34 / Range 0.51 / Down 0.15

- Band: P10 256.61 | P50 265.69 | P90 284.44 | Width 10.46%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 28.56 | +DI 29.47 vs -DI 19.42

- Cross: Death cross 2025-04-14

- Confidence: 0.81 | spread_z: -1.47 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Trend | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 270 | est cost $3545

 

====================================================================================================

HD

Summary — HD (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 361.21 | Daily change: +3.48% | rVol14: 0.50 | VolZ20: -0.92

- Model probs: Up 0.14 / Range 0.53 / Down 0.33

- Band: P10 341.69 | P50 360.49 | P90 374.70 | Width 9.14%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 11.55 | +DI 18.58 vs -DI 22.22

- Cross: Death cross 2025-12-09

- Confidence: 0.90 | spread_z: -2.22 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bear | Model bias: Bearish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 360 | est cost $3165

 

====================================================================================================

DIS

Summary — DIS (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 114.64 | Daily change: +1.53% | rVol14: 0.42 | VolZ20: -1.51

- Model probs: Up 0.35 / Range 0.48 / Down 0.18

- Band: P10 111.46 | P50 116.42 | P90 120.42 | Width 7.81%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 28.83 | +DI 24.44 vs -DI 14.43

- Cross: Death cross 2025-12-11

- Confidence: 0.68 | spread_z: -0.77 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Trend | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-11-20 | strike 115 | est cost $1305

 

====================================================================================================

ABT

Summary — ABT (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 127.41 | Daily change: +0.29% | rVol14: 0.26 | VolZ20: -1.49

- Model probs: Up 0.36 / Range 0.47 / Down 0.17

- Band: P10 124.42 | P50 128.82 | P90 133.33 | Width 6.99%

- Supertrend: Bear  | ADX 11.80 | +DI 26.06 vs -DI 18.02

- Cross: Death cross 2025-11-14

- Confidence: 0.86 | spread_z: -1.78 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bear | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 125 | est cost $902

 

====================================================================================================

PG

Summary — PG (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 141.37 | Daily change: +2.41% | rVol14: 0.46 | VolZ20: -1.43

- Model probs: Up 0.30 / Range 0.39 / Down 0.31

- Band: P10 135.16 | P50 141.64 | P90 148.60 | Width 9.51%

- Supertrend: Bear  | ADX 17.68 | +DI 20.98 vs -DI 34.28

- Cross: Death cross 2025-05-05

- Confidence: 0.52 | spread_z: -0.10 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bear | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bear | Model bias: Bearish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 140 | est cost $1030

 

====================================================================================================

PM

Summary — PM (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 158.26 | Daily change: +2.00% | rVol14: 0.21 | VolZ20: -1.27

- Model probs: Up 0.33 / Range 0.39 / Down 0.28

- Band: P10 152.91 | P50 158.79 | P90 168.52 | Width 9.86%

- Supertrend: Bull  | ADX 17.43 | +DI 22.75 vs -DI 22.29

- Cross: Death cross 2025-10-31

- Confidence: 0.47 | spread_z: 0.10 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bull | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Call | exp 2026-11-20 | strike 160 | est cost $1500

 

====================================================================================================

TMUS

Summary — TMUS (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 196.59 | Daily change: -0.35% | rVol14: 0.40 | VolZ20: -0.92

- Model probs: Up 0.26 / Range 0.39 / Down 0.35

- Band: P10 183.21 | P50 195.30 | P90 207.21 | Width 12.21%

- Supertrend: Bear  | ADX 19.36 | +DI 15.10 vs -DI 24.08

- Cross: Death cross 2025-10-17

- Confidence: 0.32 | spread_z: 0.74 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bear | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bear | Model bias: Bearish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 195 | est cost $1848

 

====================================================================================================

SAP

Summary — SAP (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 240.75 | Daily change: -1.10% | rVol14: 0.48 | VolZ20: -1.38

- Model probs: Up 0.27 / Range 0.26 / Down 0.48

- Band: P10 224.92 | P50 237.87 | P90 254.34 | Width 12.22%

- Supertrend: Bear  | ADX 20.06 | +DI 19.43 vs -DI 28.44

- Cross: Death cross 2025-09-26

- Confidence: 0.54 | spread_z: -0.16 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bear | ADX mode: Emerging | DI direction: Bear | Model bias: Bearish

- 10-day plan: **REDUCE / HEDGE**. Downtrend. Avoid new longs; consider hedges or wait. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 240 | est cost $2415

 

====================================================================================================

NBIS

Summary — NBIS (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 99.77 | Daily change: +3.70% | rVol14: 0.87 | VolZ20: -0.61

- Model probs: Up 0.16 / Range 0.48 / Down 0.36

- Band: P10 85.73 | P50 97.43 | P90 111.75 | Width 26.08%

- Supertrend: Bear  | ADX 15.16 | +DI 27.79 vs -DI 17.79

- Cross:

- Confidence: 0.53 | spread_z: -0.10 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bear | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bearish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 100 | est cost $3205

 

====================================================================================================

IREN

Summary — IREN (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 46.42 | Daily change: +6.41% | rVol14: 0.76 | VolZ20: -0.91

- Model probs: Up 0.24 / Range 0.56 / Down 0.20

- Band: P10 38.73 | P50 46.97 | P90 54.30 | Width 33.55%

- Supertrend: Bear  | ADX 13.82 | +DI 24.25 vs -DI 19.99

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-07-08

- Confidence: 0.38 | spread_z: 0.50 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bear | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bull | Model bias: Bullish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-10-16 | strike 47 | est cost $1475

 

====================================================================================================

CRWV

Summary — CRWV (next ~10 trading days)

- Close: 78.45 | Daily change: +1.65% | rVol14: 0.51 | VolZ20: -1.04

- Model probs: Up 0.02 / Range 0.95 / Down 0.03

- Band: P10 76.08 | P50 76.74 | P90 81.60 | Width 7.03%

- Supertrend: Bear  | ADX 14.72 | +DI 27.16 vs -DI 28.34

- Cross: Golden cross 2025-06-09

- Confidence: 0.80 | spread_z: -1.41 | OK | Alpha gate: OFF

- Context: VIX 15.29

- Trend: Bear | ADX mode: Range | DI direction: Bear | Model bias: Bearish

- 10-day plan: **WAIT / RANGE MODE**. Prefer buy near P10, sell/trim near P90. Use smaller size. | VIX<20: mean-reversion OK.

- Options: LEAP Put | exp 2026-12-18 | strike 78 | est cost $2350

所有跟帖: 

这个系统很牛啊。多个判断跟我人脑判断一致。能不能帮忙pull一下这几个ticker -tiffanylvbarn- 给 tiffanylvbarn 发送悄悄话 (87 bytes) () 01/08/2026 postreply 10:43:39

这个星期六到下周四有个国际会议要主持,可能下个星期可以帮你加进去。现在的Ticker只是在MegaCap。 -yifan99- 给 yifan99 发送悄悄话 yifan99 的博客首页 (49 bytes) () 01/08/2026 postreply 10:54:04

期待 -tiffanylvbarn- 给 tiffanylvbarn 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 01/08/2026 postreply 11:13:22

这样的话,达到目标,不需要伤脑了。 -yifan99- 给 yifan99 发送悄悄话 yifan99 的博客首页 (15 bytes) () 01/08/2026 postreply 12:16:18

看了好多天你的发帖。老兄你的训练数据是从哪里下载的? -天气晚来秋- 给 天气晚来秋 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 01/08/2026 postreply 10:57:00

有很多地方可以下载,Yahoo -yifan99- 给 yifan99 发送悄悄话 yifan99 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 01/08/2026 postreply 10:58:35

好厉害的系统!可否也帮忙加一下这几个ticker? -aloevera- 给 aloevera 发送悄悄话 (36 bytes) () 01/08/2026 postreply 13:20:02

不错,具体参指还待请教。 -Dikaiopolis- 给 Dikaiopolis 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 01/08/2026 postreply 15:03:23

厉害! 赞!! -*江南雨*- 给 *江南雨* 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 01/08/2026 postreply 15:43:01

感觉很牛!持续关注 -10miDream- 给 10miDream 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 01/08/2026 postreply 17:05:13

请您先登陆,再发跟帖!