Christmas 之后的 five trading days, 75% 的情况下都会涨。但现在 equities 全线超买，bond 全线超卖。Pension funds 会进行 quarterly end rebalancing - 卖equities, 买bond. 跌幅可能在 0.5 - 1.0 之间。
https://www.themarketunfolds.com/oversold_overbought.php
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今年不会有 Santa Claus Rally
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