Adding some of my thoughts

回答: 三人行必有我师: CRCL股价分析晓炎2025-11-05 17:03:47

The long term perspective of CRCL is how fast it can grow its B2B transaction business. This is because Fed will continue to cut interest rate (especially after new Fed chariman taking the post next year). So, a combination of slowing down of USDC circultation and 12-18 months of interest rate cutting cycle is going to be a big negative for CRCL. 

To invest in CRCL, more focus should be put on its ability to launch B2B transaction service, and increase the revenue % contribution.

At same time, CRCL price has come down a lot, so, maybe some kind of panic sell when they provide lower Q4 guidance could be the final time to step in

所有跟帖: 

Thanks so very much! Your 1st paragraph is exactly what I -晓炎- 给 晓炎 发送悄悄话 晓炎 的博客首页 (41 bytes) () 11/05/2025 postreply 17:43:05

the 2nd one is something I don’t know, -晓炎- 给 晓炎 发送悄悄话 晓炎 的博客首页 (78 bytes) () 11/05/2025 postreply 17:44:07

Actually I have another question, hope someone can answer it -晓炎- 给 晓炎 发送悄悄话 晓炎 的博客首页 (104 bytes) () 11/05/2025 postreply 17:45:37

Two hypothetical examples would pump CRCL by 20% in a day -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (163 bytes) () 11/05/2025 postreply 17:55:28

Great point! Gotcha, thanks;) -晓炎- 给 晓炎 发送悄悄话 晓炎 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 11/05/2025 postreply 17:57:29

我自己的想法,这两点算是最终目标,中间多半需要漫长的博弈和政府进一步法规规范化,从资金效率上现在投早了些 -dancingpig- 给 dancingpig 发送悄悄话 (267 bytes) () 11/05/2025 postreply 18:17:05

很有道理!“打脸”不是因为你不rational 而是市场是不理性的,人性是贪婪的, -晓炎- 给 晓炎 发送悄悄话 晓炎 的博客首页 (227 bytes) () 11/05/2025 postreply 18:19:48

是的 -bogbog- 给 bogbog 发送悄悄话 bogbog 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 11/05/2025 postreply 19:01:46

估计多少能step in,你之前提到的80? -hvhp- 给 hvhp 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 11/05/2025 postreply 17:52:32

哪个80?哦,三心早上说的80!其实p10/50/90都是毛估估, -晓炎- 给 晓炎 发送悄悄话 晓炎 的博客首页 (60 bytes) () 11/05/2025 postreply 17:59:27

我不做短炒,但觉得p10的那个80,90,应该是比较好的短炒价格 -晓炎- 给 晓炎 发送悄悄话 晓炎 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 11/05/2025 postreply 19:01:23

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