哈,难得星期六大早能碰上这么棒的问题,帮助我自己思考,刚刚问了一下Grok AI—-

回答: APP . 4 这个有没有详细的想法TexasSherry2025-10-25 07:19:38

Subscriber Base

•  Netflix: 300 million monthly active subscribers (as of recent reports). These are paying users for its streaming service, primarily for premium video content.

•  AppLovin: 1 billion monthly active users (MAUs). This figure likely refers to users engaging with apps powered by AppLovin’s advertising and monetization platform, not direct subscribers to a consumer-facing service.

•  Facebook (Meta): 2 billion monthly active users (MAUs) across its core platform. These are free users engaging with the social media ecosystem, monetized through advertising.

Key Differences

1.  Business Model:

    •  Netflix: Subscription-based (SVOD). Revenue comes from monthly fees for ad-free or ad-supported streaming plans. 300M subscribers reflect direct paying customers.

    •  AppLovin: B2B ad-tech platform. The 1B MAUs are users of apps using AppLovin’s tools (e.g., mobile games, apps). Revenue comes from app developers/publishers, not end users.

    •  Facebook: Advertising-driven. The 2B MAUs are free users, monetized through targeted ads across Meta’s platforms (Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp).

2.  User Engagement:

    •  Netflix: High engagement (users spend hours streaming content), but limited to entertainment. Subscriber growth is tied to content quality and pricing.

    •  AppLovin: Engagement varies widely depending on the apps (e.g., gaming, utility). The 1B MAUs reflect reach across a broad app ecosystem, not a single platform.

    •  Facebook: High daily engagement (social networking, messaging). Its 2B MAUs represent a massive, sticky user base across multiple services.

3.  Monetization per User:

    •  Netflix: High average revenue per user (ARPU), ~$10-20/month depending on region and plan. Total revenue scales directly with subscribers.

    •  AppLovin: Lower ARPU, as revenue depends on ad impressions or in-app purchases within partner apps. The 1B MAUs don’t translate to 1B paying users.

    •  Facebook: Moderate ARPU (~$10-50/year globally), driven by ad revenue. Scale comes from the sheer size of its user base.

Scale and Context

•  Netflix’s 300M is impressive for a paid service, reflecting strong global demand for premium content. Growth is constrained by market saturation and competition (e.g., Disney+, Amazon Prime).

•  AppLovin’s 1B highlights its dominance in mobile app monetization, but these aren’t “subscribers” in the traditional sense—more a measure of its tech’s reach. It’s less about loyalty and more about ecosystem penetration.

•  Facebook’s 2B dwarfs both, reflecting its status as a global social media giant. However, its free model means monetization relies on ad markets, which can fluctuate.

所有跟帖: 

谢谢你,这个问题和解答我自己也得存根;) -晓炎- 给 晓炎 发送悄悄话 晓炎 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 10/25/2025 postreply 07:27:33

在我持有NFLX的12年间, 它暴跌过N次, 我每次看了看,没啥大问题,继续拿着 -bogbog- 给 bogbog 发送悄悄话 bogbog 的博客首页 (167 bytes) () 10/25/2025 postreply 08:57:21

佩服你的定力。和我的一个朋友好有一比,我称他:“有大将风度”。 -我是一只井底蛙- 给 我是一只井底蛙 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 10/25/2025 postreply 09:16:31

同道中人!握手! -晓炎- 给 晓炎 发送悄悄话 晓炎 的博客首页 (167 bytes) () 10/25/2025 postreply 09:27:09

我也拿着,纯粹因为割肉疼 -snowwhite76- 给 snowwhite76 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 10/25/2025 postreply 09:52:12

我是从2009-2010年就持有NFLX了,不记得跌时了,哈哈,只记得7:1split 然后又涨到现在的1000+,我不 -晓炎- 给 晓炎 发送悄悄话 晓炎 的博客首页 (162 bytes) () 10/25/2025 postreply 09:58:27

12年涨了36倍, 前阵子还40多倍。 史上最牛股之一,之后应该是会慢了。但基本面还是不差,不卖。 -bogbog- 给 bogbog 发送悄悄话 bogbog 的博客首页 (82 bytes) () 10/25/2025 postreply 17:07:06

LOL 想象着bog 斩钉截铁的样子! -晓炎- 给 晓炎 发送悄悄话 晓炎 的博客首页 (325 bytes) () 10/25/2025 postreply 18:52:14

我一向说起投资都是一套又一套的, -bogbog- 给 bogbog 发送悄悄话 bogbog 的博客首页 (282 bytes) () 10/25/2025 postreply 20:11:55

Gm “nonsense” lol Have a great Sunday! -晓炎- 给 晓炎 发送悄悄话 晓炎 的博客首页 (167 bytes) () 10/26/2025 postreply 05:38:41

嗯,不一样的饼,不一样的画法,到底多大都是愿景,只能边走边看 -TexasSherry- 给 TexasSherry 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 10/25/2025 postreply 10:49:29

所以说不是长持了就可以停止去研究基本面的,我仍然每个季度必读财报;) -晓炎- 给 晓炎 发送悄悄话 晓炎 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 10/25/2025 postreply 10:53:39

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