https://bbs.wenxuecity.com/cfzh/2180.html
Refined Trading Plan
Phase 1 (10–15% of target):
• Entry: Current levels (~$103).
• Stop-Loss: 1.5× ATR below entry (~$103 – (1.5 × $9.5) ≈ $88.75), rounded to $89.
• Rationale: Balances risk control with volatility tolerance; avoids being whipsawed by normal ATR-sized moves.
Phase 2 (another 20%): Add when all of the following occur:
• Price closes above the 10-day EMA on volume.
• RSI rises above 50 and MACD shows a bullish cross.
• Ideally, CoreWeave issues positive guidance or posts an earnings beat.
Phase 3 (remaining allocation up to 3–5% total portfolio): Scale in as:
• The stock holds and turns up above the 50-day SMA (~$126).
• Operating cash flow remains positive quarter-over-quarter.
• No new debt raises or margin setbacks.
Risk Management & Monitoring:
– Cap CoreWeave exposure at 3–5% of total portfolio.
– Track Nvidia earnings, hyperscaler GPU announcements, and insider trades.
– If CoreWeave fails to report a token positive EPS or loses the 200-day SMA decisively on heavy volume, cut to zero.
