I call Ohio for Romney against current poll average. This time is more like 2004 than 2008. In 2004, Kerry lead Bush by 4% in the last poll before Tuesday but Bush ended up winning 2% in Ohio.
| Battleground States | Obama | Romney |
| Colorado (9) | 9 | |
| Florida (29) | 29 | |
| Iowa (6) | 6 | |
| Michigan (16) | 16 | |
| Nevada (6) | 6 | |
| New Hampshire (4) | 4 | |
| North Carolina (15) | 15 | |
| Ohio (18) | 18 | |
| Pennsylvania (20) | 20 | |
| Virginia (13) | 13 | |
| Wisconsin (10) | 10 | |
| Other States | 201 | 191 |
| Obama v.s. Romney | 268 | 270 |