made little progress in trade talks. Because they are sharply divide, the first round of talks effectively failed. The U.S. team did not meet with President Xi, neither did they see Vice President Wang.
There is no hope that they can reach any consensus before the deadline for the implementation of section 301 tariffs against Chinese goods.
The U.S. may go after Huawei as retaliation. If the U.S. put Huawei on the sanctions list, the impact on Huawei's overseas businesses would be both broad and profound.
I expect the volatility of the global stock markets to persist into the summer or even longer. If 2018 is not a 2007, it could behave like 2005.
I hope it's going to be a 2005, not a 2007. But who knows?
In 2007, when BNP Paribas' liquidation of the mortgage portfolio triggered the panic of investors, some people said the panic would be short lived, but the others said they saw the cloud becoming thicker and larger, indicating a large storm was approaching.
Trade war between the U.S. and China and the shrinking balance sheets of major central banks are today's clouds. Are they becoming thicker and larger?