All based on assumption, the assumption of human behavior. If human behavior is unpredictable then all bets are off. Therefore modeling can help people understand past but not predict future.
所有做过经济或市场模型的人都知道
所有跟帖:
•
之所以短期模型还可能有点用是基于人的行为惯性。中长期就不行了。
-weibao-
♀
(0 bytes)
()
03/30/2017 postreply
08:04:44