Good try. See my calculation in detail.

来源: Norcalfan0 于 2016-10-04 13:41:52 [] [博客] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 阅读数 : 0 (359 bytes)
本帖于 2016-10-04 13:43:43 时间, 由普通用户 Norcalfan0 编辑
回答: Trump 如何得到270？ 由 zenmaster 于 2016-10-04 13:12:22

Most likely Trump would win Ohio (18) and Iowa (6), which makes his vote to 230. If he win Florida (29) and Colorado (9), he still lose by two (268:270). We do not need to mention North Carolina (15), which he may lose.

In other words, Trump could NOT win Election 2016 unless something VERY BIG happen in next 34 days.

所有跟帖： 

• 但据RCP Average, 希拉里现在还在佛州领先2.9%。我看可能危险。 -michigan007- ♂ 给 michigan007 发送悄悄话 (286 bytes) () 10/04/2016 postreply 14:02:46

• Yes, this is mission impossible 2016. -Norcalfan0- ♂ 给 Norcalfan0 发送悄悄话 Norcalfan0 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 10/04/2016 postreply 14:11:53

• new poll shows H leading PA by 9-10 -钢丝.- ♂ 给 钢丝. 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 10/04/2016 postreply 14:42:39

• any chance he might win NH? -zenmaster- ♂ 给 zenmaster 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 10/04/2016 postreply 13:56:26

• Trump may win 1 out of 4 from NH. -Norcalfan0- ♂ 给 Norcalfan0 发送悄悄话 Norcalfan0 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 10/04/2016 postreply 14:13:16

• that's Maine , no way he can take NH -钢丝.- ♂ 给 钢丝. 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 10/04/2016 postreply 14:27:09

• You are right. My mistake. -Norcalfan0- ♂ 给 Norcalfan0 发送悄悄话 Norcalfan0 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 10/04/2016 postreply 14:33:40

• that's exact the reason why so many Trump fans stayed up... -钢丝.- ♂ 给 钢丝. 发送悄悄话 (50 bytes) () 10/04/2016 postreply 14:28:38

• Maine不是winner takes all. Trump 有一票，再加FL, CO. 最后269对269. 由众院决定，T -ar11- ♂ 给 ar11 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 10/04/2016 postreply 19:55:22

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