回复：为什么说真正的底还很远。

How much the market has already factored in the scenarios you described, given a lot of earning predictions have not been reduced much yet ?

Once the market will rally at bad news, it will mean the market has already factored in a lot of the future bad news.

Market normally overracts, and moves ahead the actual fundamental.

Most potential bad news you described might have already reflected in the current market valuation (40% drop without enough bad data), that is my point.

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• thanks :) -lkk1080- ♂ (0 bytes) () 10/20/2008 postreply 06:28:40