上周的形势同87年十月黑色星期一前一周相似, 不知星期一如何。

来源: optionguru 2007-11-10 09:00:28 [] [博客] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读: 次 (1307 bytes)
上周的形势同87年十月黑色星期一前一周相似, 不知星期一如何。

There's an old saw in the stock market about how the trend on Friday sets the stage for what happens on Monday. (The theory being that traders go home a bit giddy or nervous, and after 48 hours of ruminating on their condition, come back to work on Monday absolutely lathered up with greed or fear).

Statistically, this is probably a crock--most old market saws are--but then again, they don't call it "Black Monday" for nothing. So, as you head home for your weekend, here's a suggestion. Don't read the numbers below. And, when you get home, hit the scotch.

DJIA Closes Mid-October 1987:

Tuesday, October 13: 2,508
Wednesday, October 14: 2,413
Thursday, October 15: 2,355
Friday, October 16: 2,247
Monday, October 19: 1,739

Total Tues-Fri decline: 10%
Total Monday decline: 23%
Total 7-day decline: 31%

DJIA Closes Early November 2007:

Tuesday, November 6: 13,667
Wednesday, November 7: 13,300
Thursday, November 8: 13,266
Friday, November 9: 13,043
Monday, November 12: ?

Total Tues-Fri decline: 5%
Total Monday change: ?
Total 7-day change: ?
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