http://web.wenxuecity.com/BBSView.php?SubID=tzlc&MsgID=60471
市场对FED降息的可能反应
来源: basicenglish 于 07-09-17 20:47:55
1) 降息25bp,FED声明仍然强调通胀危险:股市降,美元升(too little, too late).
2) 降息25bp,FED声明暗示更多降息的可能:股市稳,美元小降(just about right).
3) 降息50bp:股市大升,美元大降(Ben is really serious).
预先设计好的交易策略和具体步骤:
http://groups.wenxuecity.com/discussion.php?gid=123&pid=6673
http://web.wenxuecity.com/BBSView.php?SubID=tzlc&MsgID=60493
明天的交易策略和具体步骤
来源: basicenglish 于 07-09-17 21:57:43
交易策略
Market will go straight up or down to one direction only if the unexpected happens. The majority expects Fed to cut 25bp. Therefore, I will set up a trade for 50bp cut, and just for the fun of it, another trade for no Fed cut at all.
具体步骤
If Fed cut rate 50bp, eur/usd could easily go over 1.40. So, set a buy stop order exactly at 2:10 p.m. (5 minutes before the Fed announcement), 50 pips above the price at that moment.
If there is no rate cut at all, eur/usd will be in a free fall. So, set a sell stop order exactly at 2:10 p.m., 50 pips below the price at that moment.
今天的结果:
FED 超出大多数人的预料,降息50bp
昨天的期待成为事实:股市大升,美元大降
eur/usd 减息前 1.3870,减息后 buy stop order 成功地触发,欧元/美元最高达到 1.3983.交易计划得以全面实现。
感谢老 BEN 的完美配合,希望将来戒骄戒躁,再创佳绩。
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外汇论坛
空谈无用,赚钱有理。
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